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Vitória SC vs FC Porto prediction
Portugal · Primeira Liga
Vitória SC
FC PortoPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 13:00 (Peru time) · Estádio D. Afonso Henriques · Referee: David Rafael Oliveira da Silva
FC Porto or draw
85%- Away, FC Porto are 5W 0D 1L this season
- #1 in the table, Vitória SC #14
- Head to head: 7W 1D 2L for FC Porto
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Vitória SC 0.82 · FC Porto 1.92
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.74.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.3 in total · Vitória SC 4.5 · FC Porto 4.8
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 6.4 · el árbitro David Rafael Oliveira da Silva saca 9.0 por partido
⏱️ First half
33% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.90
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Vitória SC: 11 matches · FC Porto: 14 matches (all competitions with data).
Vitória SC at home · FC Porto away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 3 of 9 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 8 of 14 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
A. Jakupovic · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Y. Mosquera · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
Maga · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
Gabri Veiga · 3 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Borja Sainz · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Samuel Aghehowa · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.7 goals per match
| 2026-01-18 | Vitória SC 0-1 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| 2025-12-04 | FC Porto 1-3 Vitória SC | Taça da Liga |
| 2025-08-11 | FC Porto 3-0 Vitória SC | Primeira Liga |
| 2025-02-24 | FC Porto 1-1 Vitória SC | Primeira Liga |
| 2024-09-21 | Vitória SC 0-3 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| 2024-04-17 | FC Porto 3-1 Vitória SC | Taça de Portugal |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | +22 | 33 |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | +20 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 11 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 | SC Braga | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Nacional | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Maritimo | 10 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 11 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | -14 | 2 |
More stats
7 matches · 8.0 yellows and 1.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Vitória SC: 5 days since last match · FC Porto: 3 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 20:30 UTC.