Primeira Liga: predictions, standings and stats

Standings

Primeira Liga (Portugal) standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Porto	11	11	0	0	+22	33	WWWWW
2	Benfica	11	9	1	1	+20	28	LWWWW
3	Sporting CP	11	7	3	1	+13	24	DWLWW
4	Santa Clara	11	6	3	2	+8	21	DWLWL
5	Arouca	11	6	2	3	+5	20	DWWWL
6	Academico Viseu	11	6	2	3	+2	20	WWWWL
7	GIL Vicente	11	5	3	3	+2	18	WWLDW
8	SC Braga	11	5	2	4	+2	17	LLLWW
9	Moreirense	11	4	2	5	-5	14	DLWWL
10	Famalicao	11	3	4	4	+1	13	WLWLW
11	Alverca	11	3	3	5	-1	12	WWLLD
12	Estrela	11	2	4	5	-5	10	LLLLL
13	Nacional	11	3	1	7	-8	10	LLWLW
14	Vitória SC	11	2	3	6	-1	9	DLWDL
15	Maritimo	10	2	2	6	-12	8	LDLLL
16	Casa Pia	11	2	2	7	-14	8	WLWLD
17	Rio Ave	11	2	1	8	-15	7	LWLLL
18	Estoril	10	0	2	8	-14	2	LLLLL

Home

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Porto	5	5	0	0	+11	15	WWWWW
2	Benfica	5	4	1	0	+6	13	DWWWW
3	Sporting CP	6	4	1	1	+5	13	WWDLW
4	Arouca	5	4	0	1	+6	12	WWLWW
5	SC Braga	5	3	0	2	+2	9	WWLLW
6	Academico Viseu	5	3	0	2	-1	9	LLWWW
7	Nacional	6	3	0	3	-3	9	LLLWW
8	Vitória SC	6	2	2	2	+4	8	WDDWL
9	Santa Clara	6	2	2	2	+3	8	WWDLL
10	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	+1	8	WLDLD
11	Moreirense	5	2	1	2	-2	7	DLWLW
12	Alverca	6	1	3	2	-1	6	DLWLD
13	Famalicao	5	1	2	2	-3	5	LDDLW
14	Estrela	6	1	2	3	-4	5	DWLLL
15	Maritimo	5	1	1	3	-5	4	WDLLL
16	Rio Ave	6	1	1	4	-10	4	LDWLL
17	Estoril	5	0	2	3	-5	2	DLDLL
18	Casa Pia	5	0	0	5	-14	0	LLLLL

Away

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Porto	6	6	0	0	+11	18	WWWWW
2	Benfica	6	5	0	1	+14	15	WWLWW
3	Santa Clara	5	4	1	0	+5	13	WDWWW
4	Sporting CP	5	3	2	0	+8	11	DWDWW
5	Academico Viseu	6	3	2	1	+3	11	DWWWL
6	GIL Vicente	5	3	1	1	+1	10	DLWWW
7	Famalicao	6	2	2	2	+4	8	LDWWL
8	SC Braga	6	2	2	2	0	8	WLDLW
9	Casa Pia	6	2	2	2	0	8	LDWWD
10	Arouca	6	2	2	2	-1	8	LDDWL
11	Moreirense	6	2	1	3	-3	7	WLDWL
12	Alverca	5	2	0	3	0	6	LLWWL
13	Estrela	5	1	2	2	-1	5	DWDLL
14	Maritimo	5	1	1	3	-7	4	WLLDL
15	Rio Ave	5	1	0	4	-5	3	LWLLL
16	Nacional	5	0	1	4	-5	1	DLLLL
17	Vitória SC	5	0	1	4	-5	1	LLLLD
18	Estoril	5	0	0	5	-9	0	LLLLL

Last 5 matches

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Porto	5	5	0	0	+9	15	WWWWW
2	Academico Viseu	5	4	0	1	+4	12	WWWWL
3	Benfica	5	4	0	1	+3	12	LWWWW
4	Sporting CP	5	3	1	1	+4	10	DWLWW
5	Arouca	5	3	1	1	+2	10	DWWWL
6	GIL Vicente	5	3	1	1	+2	10	WWLDW
7	Famalicao	5	3	0	2	+3	9	WLWLW
8	Alverca	5	2	1	2	+2	7	WWLLD
9	Moreirense	5	2	1	2	+1	7	DLWWL
10	Santa Clara	5	2	1	2	+1	7	DWLWL
11	Casa Pia	5	2	1	2	0	7	WLWLD
12	SC Braga	5	2	0	3	0	6	LLLWW
13	Nacional	5	2	0	3	-4	6	LLWLW
14	Vitória SC	5	1	2	2	+2	5	DLWDL
15	Rio Ave	5	1	0	4	-6	3	LWLLL
16	Maritimo	5	0	1	4	-10	1	LDLLL
17	Estrela	5	0	0	5	-7	0	LLLLL
18	Estoril	5	0	0	5	-9	0	LLLLL

Betting rankings

1 Benfica81%

2 Estrela75%

3 Maritimo73%

4 FC Porto60%

5 Sporting CP60%

6 Academico Viseu58%

7 Moreirense58%

8 Santa Clara50%

1 Estrela75%

2 Benfica67%

3 Maritimo64%

4 Sporting CP60%

5 Alverca58%

6 Estoril55%

7 Santa Clara50%

8 Academico Viseu50%

1 Benfica7.1

2 FC Porto5.7

3 Vitória SC5.4

4 Famalicao5.3

5 SC Braga5.2

6 Alverca5.0

7 Sporting CP4.9

8 Estoril4.5

1 Academico Viseu2.9

2 Santa Clara2.7

3 Vitória SC2.5

4 Arouca2.4

5 Estoril2.2

6 Alverca2.2

7 Famalicao2.1

8 Estrela2.1

1 SC Braga65%

2 Santa Clara50%

3 Arouca50%

4 GIL Vicente42%

5 Vitória SC42%

6 FC Porto40%

7 Sporting CP40%

8 Benfica33%

Goals and clean sheets: % of the season's matches. Corners and cards: average per match for each team.

The league in numbers

Who wins: home, draw or away

Season prediction

We simulate the rest of the season 10,000 times with the PickMania model.

End-of-season probabilities

Team	Pts	Final pts	Champion	Champions League	Relegation
FC Porto	33	78.1	74%	96%	–
Benfica	28	71.6	22%	77%	–
Sporting CP	24	64.9	4%	23%	–
Santa Clara	21	55.2	–	1%	–
Arouca	20	53.3	–	1%	–
Academico Viseu	20	53.3	–	1%	–
GIL Vicente	18	50.7	–	–	–
SC Braga	17	50.3	–	–	–
Famalicao	13	44.6	–	–	–
Alverca	12	43.2	–	–	1%
Moreirense	14	42.4	–	–	1%
Vitória SC	9	40.6	–	–	2%
Estrela	10	37.0	–	–	6%
Nacional	10	36.1	–	–	8%
Casa Pia	8	31.5	–	–	28%
Maritimo	8	30.7	–	–	33%
Rio Ave	7	29.2	–	–	45%
Estoril	2	24.1	–	–	77%

Power Ranking

Strength of each team from 0 to 100 according to the model (attack vs defence, approx. last 44 matches).

1 FC Porto84

2 Benfica78

3 Sporting CP73

4 Santa Clara59

5 Arouca57

6 SC Braga57

7 Academico Viseu56

8 GIL Vicente55

9 Famalicao54

10 Vitória SC51

11 Alverca50

12 Moreirense44

13 Estrela42

14 Nacional40

15 Casa Pia32

16 Maritimo31

17 Estoril31

18 Rio Ave29

Streaks

FC Porto11 wins in a row

Benfica4 wins in a row

Estoril10 matches without a win

Maritimo8 matches without a win

Estrela6 matches without a win

Alverca3 matches without a win

Estoril5 defeats in a row

Estrela5 defeats in a row

Top scorers and assists

🏆 League titles

League titles of the teams playing this season.

1 Benfica38

Last: 2022-23

2 FC Porto31

Last: 2025-26

3 Sporting CP21

Last: 2024-25