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Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti prediction
Romania · Liga I
Uta Arad
Petrolul PloiestiPre-match probabilities
Friday, November 6 · 10:30 (Peru time) · Stadionul Francisc von Neumann · Referee: George Catalin Gaman
Uta Arad to score
81%- Petrolul Ploiesti concede 1.3 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Uta Arad 1.67 · Petrolul Ploiesti 1.03
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.70.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.4 in total · Uta Arad 5.1 · Petrolul Ploiesti 4.3
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.4
⏱️ First half
50% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.34
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Uta Arad: 14 matches · Petrolul Ploiesti: 14 matches (all competitions with data).
Uta Arad at home · Petrolul Ploiesti away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 5 of 12 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 9 of 14 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
A. Dorobantu · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches
O. El Sawy · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
M. Coman · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
R. Martins · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
L. Santos Teixeira · 1 gol, 3 assists in 5 matches
A. J. Bran Flores · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 1.8 goals per match
| 2026-05-03 | Petrolul Ploiesti 1-1 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| 2025-12-08 | Uta Arad 1-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| 2025-10-30 | Uta Arad 1-1 Petrolul Ploiesti | Cupa României |
| 2025-08-01 | Petrolul Ploiesti 1-2 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| 2025-05-05 | Uta Arad 2-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| 2025-02-15 | Petrolul Ploiesti 0-1 Uta Arad | Liga I |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitatea Craiova | 15 | +24 | 33 |
| 2 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 15 | +21 | 33 |
| 3 | Rapid | 15 | +10 | 31 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 15 | +2 | 27 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 15 | +6 | 26 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 15 | +2 | 24 |
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 15 | +1 | 22 |
| 8 | FCSB | 15 | -1 | 21 |
| 9 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Uta Arad | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 15 | -9 | 18 |
| 12 | FC Botosani | 15 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 15 | -7 | 15 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 15 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 15 | -18 | 8 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 15 | -19 | 6 |
More stats
Uta Arad: 4 days since last match · Petrolul Ploiesti: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 18:00 UTC.