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Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins prediction
Chile · Liga de Primera
Universidad de Concepcion
O'HigginsPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 18:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion · Referee: Francisco Gilabert
O'Higgins to score
77%- O'Higgins scored in 25 of 38 matches this season
- Universidad de Concepcion concede 1.8 goals per match
- Universidad de Concepcion kept a clean sheet in only 5 of 26
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Universidad de Concepcion 1.16 · O'Higgins 1.49
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.65.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.9 in total · Universidad de Concepcion 4.9 · O'Higgins 6.0
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 6.1 · el árbitro Francisco Gilabert saca 6.0 por partido
⏱️ First half
53% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.40
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Universidad de Concepcion: 26 matches · O'Higgins: 38 matches (all competitions with data).
Universidad de Concepcion at home · O'Higgins away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 8 of 22 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 14 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 15 of 33 matches and wins 11 of them.
Concedes first in 18 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Luis Rojas · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Jeison Joaquin Fuentealba Vergara · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Cecilio Waterman · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Bastián Yáñez · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Arnaldo Castillo · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Luis Pavez Muñoz · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
7 matches · 2.7 goals per match
| 2026-05-16 | O'Higgins 0-1 Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
| 2021-01-20 | O'Higgins 0-0 Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
| 2020-09-24 | Universidad de Concepcion 1-4 O'Higgins | Primera División |
| 2019-10-13 | O'Higgins 1-2 Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
| 2019-05-26 | Universidad de Concepcion 1-1 O'Higgins | Primera División |
| 2018-11-02 | O'Higgins 4-2 Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 27 | +29 | 61 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 27 | +25 | 51 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 27 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportes Limache | 27 | +8 | 40 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 27 | +8 | 40 |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | +4 | 38 |
| 7 | Palestino | 27 | +1 | 38 |
| 8 | Concepción | 27 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | D. La Serena | 27 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Nublense | 27 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Huachipato | 26 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 27 | -10 | 31 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 27 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 27 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 27 | -27 | 26 |
| 16 | Unión La Calera | 27 | -19 | 24 |
More stats
14 matches · 5.5 yellows and 0.50 reds per match · 0.25 penalties
Universidad de Concepcion: 9 days since last match · O'Higgins: 8 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-09 01:30 UTC.