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Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal prediction
Chile · Liga de Primera
Universidad de Chile
CobresalPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 13:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos · Referee: Piero Maza Gomez
Universidad de Chile to win
70%- Universidad de Chile have won 4 of their last 5 (L W W W W)
- At home, Universidad de Chile are 9W 3D 2L this season
- #2 in the table, Cobresal #14
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Universidad de Chile 2.52 · Cobresal 0.95
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.47.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.7 in total · Universidad de Chile 6.2 · Cobresal 4.5
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.5
⏱️ First half
35% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.22
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Universidad de Chile: 27 matches · Cobresal: 26 matches (all competitions with data).
Universidad de Chile at home · Cobresal away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 14 of 23 matches and wins 13 of them.
Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 9 of 24 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 15 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
Maximiliano Guerrero · 2 goles, 6 assists in 5 matches
Eduardo Vargas · 5 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Agustín Arce · 3 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Felipe Villagran · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Juan Fuentes · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Guillermo Pacheco · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.2 goals per match
| 2026-05-17 | Cobresal 1-0 Universidad de Chile | Primera División |
| 2025-08-04 | Universidad de Chile 0-1 Cobresal | Primera División |
| 2025-03-02 | Cobresal 2-1 Universidad de Chile | Primera División |
| 2024-07-21 | Cobresal 3-3 Universidad de Chile | Primera División |
| 2024-03-25 | Universidad de Chile 2-2 Cobresal | Primera División |
| 2023-12-03 | Cobresal 4-3 Universidad de Chile | Primera División |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 27 | +29 | 61 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 27 | +25 | 51 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 27 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportes Limache | 27 | +8 | 40 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 27 | +8 | 40 |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | +4 | 38 |
| 7 | Palestino | 27 | +1 | 38 |
| 8 | Concepción | 27 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | D. La Serena | 27 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Nublense | 27 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Huachipato | 26 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 27 | -10 | 31 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 27 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 27 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 27 | -27 | 26 |
| 16 | Unión La Calera | 27 | -19 | 24 |
More stats
3 matches · 0.0 yellows and 1.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Universidad de Chile: 7 days since last match · Cobresal: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 20:30 UTC.