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Unión La Calera vs Huachipato prediction
Chile · Liga de Primera
Unión La Calera
HuachipatoPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 15:30 (Peru time) · Municipal Nicolas Chahuan · Referee: Rodrigo Carvajal Molina
Unión La Calera to score
78%- Huachipato concede 1.6 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Unión La Calera 1.53 · Huachipato 1.16
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.69.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.2 in total · Unión La Calera 5.9 · Huachipato 4.3
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.3 · el árbitro Rodrigo Carvajal Molina saca 5.8 por partido
⏱️ First half
41% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.11
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Unión La Calera: 24 matches · Huachipato: 27 matches (all competitions with data).
Unión La Calera at home · Huachipato away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 5 of 22 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 17 and avoids defeat in 6.
Scores first in 7 of 21 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 14 and avoids defeat in 4.
Players in form
Bayron Oyarzo · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Brian Nicolás Ferreyra · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Sebastián Sáez · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Maximiliano Rodríguez · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Claudio Sepúlveda · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Sergio Nunez · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.1 goals per match
| 2026-05-17 | Huachipato 3-1 Unión La Calera | Primera División |
| 2025-08-09 | Huachipato 1-0 Unión La Calera | Primera División |
| 2025-03-07 | Unión La Calera 1-0 Huachipato | Primera División |
| 2024-07-29 | Unión La Calera 2-1 Huachipato | Primera División |
| 2024-02-25 | Huachipato 0-1 Unión La Calera | Primera División |
| 2023-10-06 | Unión La Calera 2-4 Huachipato | Primera División |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 27 | +29 | 61 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 27 | +25 | 51 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 27 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportes Limache | 27 | +8 | 40 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 27 | +8 | 40 |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | +4 | 38 |
| 7 | Palestino | 27 | +1 | 38 |
| 8 | Concepción | 27 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | D. La Serena | 27 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Nublense | 27 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Huachipato | 26 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 27 | -10 | 31 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 27 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 27 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 27 | -27 | 26 |
| 16 | Unión La Calera | 27 | -19 | 24 |
More stats
9 matches · 5.3 yellows and 0.50 reds per match · 0.25 penalties
Unión La Calera: 8 days since last match · Huachipato: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 23:00 UTC.