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U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache prediction

Chile · Liga de Primera

U. Catolica#3 · 49 ptsWDLWW

3 - 0Full time

Deportes Limache#4 · 40 ptsWWDLW

60%25%15%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Fernando Zampedri 23' (p)⚽ Tomas Astaburuaga 31'⚽ Fernando Zampedri 45'

Sunday, November 8 · 10:30 (Peru time) · San Carlos de Apoquindo · Referee: Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo

🎯 Model pick

U. Catolica or draw

85%

Full data

U. Catolica unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 (W D L W W)
At home, U. Catolica are 8W 4D 5L this season
Head to head: 3W 0D 0L for U. Catolica

⚡ Summary

60%U. Catolica to win@1.67 62%Over 2.5 goals@1.62 60%Both teams to score@1.68 45%Corners +9.5 (9.4)@2.2254%Cards +4.5 (5.0)@1.861-1Most likely score · 11%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'🔁 Sub: Daniel Castro · Carlos Jeremy Morales GaticaDeportes Limache

90'🔁 Sub: Misael Llantén · Vicente ÁlvarezDeportes Limache

84'🔁 Sub: Juan Ignacio Díaz · Agustín García BassoU. Catolica

83'🔁 Sub: Jean Meneses · Marcelo Pablo Flores VivalloDeportes Limache

80'🔁 Sub: Gonzalo Sosa · Marcos ArturiaDeportes Limache

77'🔁 Sub: Jimmy Martínez · Fernando ZuquiU. Catolica

77'🔁 Sub: Cristian Cuevas · Matias PalavecinoU. Catolica

76'🟨 Diego Corral ContrerasU. Catolica

64'🔁 Sub: Clemente Montes · Justo GianiU. Catolica

64'🔁 Sub: Juan Francisco Rossel · Diego Corral ContrerasU. Catolica

45'+4⚽ Fernando Zampedri assist Jimmy MartínezU. Catolica

45'🔁 Sub: Leonardo Valencia · Tiago Hernández GallettoDeportes Limache

41'🟨 Jhojan ValenciaU. Catolica

31'⚽ Tomas Astaburuaga assist Cristian CuevasU. Catolica

30'🟨 Leonardo ValenciaDeportes Limache

23'⚽ Fernando Zampedri (pen.)U. Catolica

Win probability minute by minute

U. CatolicaDrawDeportes Limache

At kick-off60%25%15%Full time100%0%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

60%U. Catolica to win@1.67

25%Draw@4.06

15%Deportes Limache to win@6.46

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals42%

Both teams to score60%

U. Catolica or draw85%

Deportes Limache or draw40%

U. Catolica to score88%

Deportes Limache to score66%

Most likely scores

1-111%2-19%2-09%1-08%3-17%

Expected goals per the model: U. Catolica 2.19 · Deportes Limache 1.09

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.28.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.4 in total · U. Catolica 5.0 · Deportes Limache 4.3

56%Over 8.5@1.80

45%Over 9.5@2.22

35%Over 10.5@2.82

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.0 · el árbitro Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo saca 5.0 por partido

70%Over 3.5@1.44

54%Over 4.5@1.86

39%Over 5.5@2.59

⏱️ First half

45% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.48

77%Goal in the 1st half@1.29

44%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.29

83%Goal in the 2st half@1.20

⚽ Goals per team

64%U. Catolica +1.5@1.56

30%Deportes Limache +1.5@3.36

28%U. Catolica to win to nil@3.55

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.22Expected goals (xG)0.37

7Shots on target3

3Saves4

2Offsides3

16Shots9

2Yellow cards1

4Corners10

11Fouls10

0Red cards0

53Possession %47

Goals in the last 10 matches

U. Catolica · last 10 matches

7/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.0goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Deportes Limache · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score2.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

U. CatolicaDeportes Limache

1.8Goals scored per match1.9

1.3Goals conceded per match1.4

82%Matches with over 1.5 goals85%

65%Matches with over 2.5 goals69%

62%Both teams to score54%

26%Clean sheet27%

15%Matches without scoring19%

4.7Corners won per match4.3

2.7Yellow cards per match1.9

U. Catolica: 34 matches · Deportes Limache: 26 matches (all competitions with data).

U. Catolica at home · Deportes Limache away

U. Catolica at home

8G4E5P

WDWLL

Deportes Limache away

4G3E6P

WLWWL

When do they score and concede?

U. Catolica · goals by minute in 31 matches scored conceded

Deportes Limache · goals by minute in 23 matches scored conceded

The first goal

U. Catolica

Scores first in 17 of 30 matches and wins 12 of them.

Concedes first in 13 and avoids defeat in 7.

Deportes Limache

Scores first in 14 of 23 matches and wins 10 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

U. Catolica

Fernando Zampedri · 5 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Clemente Montes · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Diego Corral · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Deportes Limache

Daniel Castro · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Gonzalo Sosa · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Marcos Arturia · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

3U. Catolica to win

0Draws

0Deportes Limache to win

3 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-17	Deportes Limache 0-2 U. Catolica	Primera División
2025-09-13	Deportes Limache 0-1 U. Catolica	Primera División
2025-04-19	U. Catolica 2-1 Deportes Limache	Primera División

Standings

Liga de Primera standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	27	+29	61
2	Universidad de Chile	27	+25	51
3	U. Catolica	27	+19	49
4	Deportes Limache	27	+8	40
5	Everton de Vina	27	+8	40
6	Coquimbo Unido	26	+4	38
7	Palestino	27	+1	38
8	Concepción	27	0	38
9	D. La Serena	27	-2	37
10	Nublense	27	-10	35
11	Huachipato	26	-7	33
12	O'Higgins	27	-10	31
13	A. Italiano	27	-8	30
14	Cobresal	27	-11	27
15	Universidad de Concepcion	27	-27	26
16	Unión La Calera	27	-19	24

More stats

Referee: Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo

23 matches · 4.6 yellows and 0.43 reds per match · 0.14 penalties

Half-time

U. Catolica: 7 days since last match · Deportes Limache: 5 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:00 UTC.