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Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid prediction
Spain · Segunda División
Sporting Gijon
ValladolidPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 12:30 (Peru time) · El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini · Referee: Daniel Palencia Caballero
Sporting Gijon to score
73%- Sporting Gijon average 1.2 goals per match
- Valladolid concede 1.5 goals per match
- Valladolid kept a clean sheet in only 3 of 13
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Sporting Gijon 1.32 · Valladolid 1.19
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.51.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 8.6 in total · Sporting Gijon 3.6 · Valladolid 5.0
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 6.4 · el árbitro Daniel Palencia Caballero saca 7.0 por partido
⏱️ First half
48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.19
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Sporting Gijon: 13 matches · Valladolid: 13 matches (all competitions with data).
Sporting Gijon at home · Valladolid away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 6 of 12 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 6 of 13 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
Alejo Sarco · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Guillermo Rosas · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches
P. Garcia · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches
Julien Ponceau · 1 gol, 4 assists in 5 matches
Adrian Arnu · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Víctor Fernández · 0 goles, 3 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.1 goals per match
| 2026-08-08 | Sporting Gijon 2-4 Valladolid | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2026-02-22 | Sporting Gijon 2-2 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| 2025-10-19 | Valladolid 2-3 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| 2024-02-17 | Sporting Gijon 1-1 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| 2023-08-11 | Valladolid 2-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| 2022-01-28 | Valladolid 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almería | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 | Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 | Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 | Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 | Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 | Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 | Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 | Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Córdoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 | Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 | Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 | Leganés | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 | Cádiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 | Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More stats
10 matches · 7.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Sporting Gijon: 7 days since last match · Valladolid: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 20:00 UTC.