Home › Portugal · Primeira Liga › Sporting CP vs Moreirense
Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction
Portugal · Primeira Liga
Sporting CP
MoreirensePre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 15:30 (Peru time) · Estádio José Alvalade · Referee: Joao Goncalves
Sporting CP to win
81%- Sporting CP have won 3 of their last 5 (W W L L W)
- At home, Sporting CP are 4W 1D 2L this season
- #3 in the table, Moreirense #9
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Sporting CP 2.86 · Moreirense 0.69
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.55.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 7.6 in total · Sporting CP 4.7 · Moreirense 2.9
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.4
⏱️ First half
44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.56
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Sporting CP: 14 matches · Moreirense: 10 matches (all competitions with data).
Sporting CP at home · Moreirense away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 12 of 14 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 6 of 10 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Luis Suárez · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Iván Fresneda · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Issa Doumbia · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Tiago Andrade · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Manuel Mendonça · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Nile John · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.6 goals per match
| 2026-02-21 | Moreirense 0-3 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| 2025-09-22 | Sporting CP 3-0 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| 2025-04-18 | Sporting CP 3-1 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| 2024-12-05 | Moreirense 2-1 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| 2024-02-19 | Moreirense 0-2 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| 2023-09-17 | Sporting CP 3-0 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | +22 | 33 |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | +20 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 11 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 | SC Braga | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Nacional | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Maritimo | 10 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 11 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | -14 | 2 |
More stats
1 matches · 3.0 yellows and 1.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Sporting CP: 4 days since last match · Moreirense: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 23:00 UTC.