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Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna prediction
Bulgaria · First League
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More VarnaPre-match probabilities
Saturday, 7 November · 09:00 (Peru time) · Stadion Slavia · Referee: Georgi Davidov
Slavia Sofia or draw
73%- At home, Slavia Sofia are 0W 4D 2L this season
- Head to head: 3W 3D 4L for Slavia Sofia
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Slavia Sofia 1.18 · Cherno More Varna 0.96
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.14.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 8.9 in total · Slavia Sofia 3.7 · Cherno More Varna 5.2
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 6.3
⏱️ First half
33% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.71
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Slavia Sofia: 13 matches · Cherno More Varna: 13 matches (all competitions with data).
Slavia Sofia at home · Cherno More Varna away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 6 of 9 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 8 of 13 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 0.
Players in form
I. Minchev · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
georgi lazarov · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
celso sidney · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
I. Bounaas · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.1 goals per match
| 2026-04-05 | Cherno More Varna 1-3 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| 2025-10-25 | Slavia Sofia 0-0 Cherno More Varna | First League |
| 2025-03-29 | Cherno More Varna 1-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| 2024-12-14 | Cherno More Varna 1-0 Slavia Sofia | Cup |
| 2024-10-04 | Slavia Sofia 1-0 Cherno More Varna | First League |
| 2023-12-09 | Cherno More Varna 3-0 Slavia Sofia | First League |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia | 14 | +23 | 34 |
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 13 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 14 | +17 | 29 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 14 | -10 | 16 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 14 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Cherno More Varna | 14 | -8 | 13 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Septemvri Sofia | 14 | -13 | 11 |
| 13 | Botev Vratsa | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 14 | -11 | 9 |
More stats
Slavia Sofia: 6 days since last match · Cherno More Varna: 4 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 16:30 UTC.