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Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC prediction
United States · Major League Soccer
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FCPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 19:00 (Peru time) · Lumen Field · Referee: Filip Dujic
Over 1.5 goals
81%- 2+ goals in 24 of 33 Seattle Sounders matches
- Also in 24 of 33 Los Angeles FC matches
- Head to head: 2.7 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Seattle Sounders 1.59 · Los Angeles FC 1.46
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.05.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 11.2 in total · Seattle Sounders 5.3 · Los Angeles FC 5.9
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 2.6 · el árbitro Filip Dujic saca 2.0 por partido
⏱️ First half
42% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.27
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Seattle Sounders: 33 matches · Los Angeles FC: 33 matches (all competitions with data).
Seattle Sounders at home · Los Angeles FC away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 9 of 26 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 17 and avoids defeat in 7.
Scores first in 11 of 25 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 14 and avoids defeat in 4.
Players in form
S. Gomez · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Jordan Morris · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
D. Joveljic · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
D. Bouanga · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Son Heung-Min · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
L. Walta · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.7 goals per match
| 2026-05-25 | Los Angeles FC 1-0 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-05-15 | Los Angeles FC 4-0 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-03-08 | Seattle Sounders 5-2 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-11-24 | Los Angeles FC 1-2 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-08-29 | Seattle Sounders 0-1 Los Angeles FC | US Open Cup |
| 2024-08-18 | Seattle Sounders 0-3 Los Angeles FC | Leagues Cup |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | -41 | 26 |
More stats
27 matches · 2.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Seattle Sounders: 6 days since last match · Los Angeles FC: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 02:30 UTC.