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San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City prediction
United States · Major League Soccer
San Diego
Sporting Kansas CityPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 19:00 (Peru time) · Snapdragon Stadium · Referee: Ramy Touchan
San Diego or draw
82%- San Diego unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 (W L D D D)
- At home, San Diego are 6W 5D 5L this season
- Sporting Kansas City in poor form: 4 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: San Diego 2.57 · Sporting Kansas City 1.46
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 4.03.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.4 in total · San Diego 5.2 · Sporting Kansas City 4.3
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.9
⏱️ First half
50% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 2.03
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
San Diego: 33 matches · Sporting Kansas City: 33 matches (all competitions with data).
San Diego at home · Sporting Kansas City away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 12 of 27 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 15 and avoids defeat in 4.
Scores first in 10 of 27 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 17 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
C. Bakambu · 3 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Anders Dreyer · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Gabriel Pirani · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Taylor Calheira · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Andre Luiz · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
S. Afrifa · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
3 matches · 1.0 goals per match
| 2026-03-08 | Sporting Kansas City 0-1 San Diego | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-08-10 | Sporting Kansas City 0-2 San Diego | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-05-18 | San Diego 0-0 Sporting Kansas City | Major League Soccer |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | -41 | 26 |
More stats
5 matches · – yellows and – reds per match
San Diego: 7 days since last match · Sporting Kansas City: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 02:30 UTC.