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Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy prediction
United States · Major League Soccer
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles GalaxyPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 19:00 (Peru time) · Rio Tinto Stadium · Referee: Joseph Dickerson
Real Salt Lake or draw
81%- Real Salt Lake unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 (L W W W D)
- At home, Real Salt Lake are 9W 3D 4L this season
- Head to head: 2W 4D 4L for Real Salt Lake
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Real Salt Lake 2.25 · Los Angeles Galaxy 1.32
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.57.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.0 in total · Real Salt Lake 4.7 · Los Angeles Galaxy 5.3
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.6
⏱️ First half
49% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.74
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Real Salt Lake: 33 matches · Los Angeles Galaxy: 33 matches (all competitions with data).
Real Salt Lake at home · Los Angeles Galaxy away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 12 of 27 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 15 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 14 of 26 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 4.
Players in form
Morgan Guilavogui · 3 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
Sergi Solans · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Juan Sanabria · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Marco Reus · 1 gol, 5 assists in 4 matches
Robert Taylor · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Joao Klauss · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.4 goals per match
| 2026-04-26 | Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| 2026-02-13 | Los Angeles Galaxy 3-3 Real Salt Lake | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2025-06-01 | Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-04-05 | Real Salt Lake 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-06-23 | Real Salt Lake 0-1 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-05-12 | Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | -41 | 26 |
More stats
4 matches · 7.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Real Salt Lake: 7 days since last match · Los Angeles Galaxy: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 02:30 UTC.