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Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution prediction
United States · Major League Soccer
Orlando City SC
New England RevolutionPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 16:00 (Peru time) · Exploria Stadium · Referee: Guido Gonzales Jr
Both teams to score
75%- Both teams scored in 23 of 33 Orlando City SC matches
- Also in 21 of 33 New England Revolution matches
- Head to head: 4.5 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Orlando City SC 2.00 · New England Revolution 1.94
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.94.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.8 in total · Orlando City SC 4.9 · New England Revolution 5.9
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.8
⏱️ First half
41% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.61
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Orlando City SC: 33 matches · New England Revolution: 33 matches (all competitions with data).
Orlando City SC at home · New England Revolution away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 13 of 27 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 14 and avoids defeat in 6.
Scores first in 15 of 27 matches and wins 11 of them.
Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
Antoine Griezmann · 5 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
M. Ojeda · 3 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Iván Angulo · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Dor Turgeman · 5 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Carles Gil · 1 gol, 3 assists in 5 matches
P. Miller · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 4.5 goals per match
| 2026-09-19 | New England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SC | Major League Soccer |
| 2026-04-29 | New England Revolution 3-4 Orlando City SC | US Open Cup |
| 2025-07-19 | New England Revolution 1-2 Orlando City SC | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-05-10 | Orlando City SC 3-3 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-09-14 | Orlando City SC 3-0 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-07-13 | New England Revolution 1-3 Orlando City SC | Major League Soccer |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 34 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 34 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Unión | 34 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 | DC United | 34 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 34 | -32 | 26 |
More stats
23 matches · – yellows and – reds per match
Orlando City SC: 7 days since last match · New England Revolution: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 23:30 UTC.