Home › Chile · Liga de Primera › Nublense vs Colo Colo

Nublense vs Colo Colo prediction

Chile · Liga de Primera

Nublense#10 · 35 ptsLWLLL

1 - 2Full time

Colo Colo#1 · 61 ptsWDLDD

19%31%50%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Arturo Vidal 14'⚽ Lucas Molina Canto 29'⚽ Marcos Bolados 90'

Sunday, 8 November · 13:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas · Referee: Juan Lara

🎯 Model pick

Colo Colo to score

82%

Full data

Colo Colo scored in 23 of 26 matches this season
Colo Colo average 2.2 goals per match
Nublense concede 1.5 goals per match

⚡ Summary

50%Colo Colo to win@1.99 51%Over 2.5 goals@1.96 55%Both teams to score@1.82 45%Corners +9.5 (9.4)@2.2051%Cards +4.5 (4.8)@1.971-1Most likely score · 14%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+6🔁 Sub: Jonathan Villagra · Iván RománColo Colo

90'+5🔁 Sub: Víctor Méndez · Javier MéndezColo Colo

90'+4🟨 Marcos BoladosColo Colo

90'+2⚽ Marcos Bolados assist Marcelo CorreaColo Colo

87'🟨 H. MuñozNublense

86'🟨 Jonathan VillagraColo Colo

83'🟨 Osvaldo BossoNublense

82'🟨 Ignacio JeraldinoNublense

76'🔁 Sub: Lucas Molina Canto · Carlos SalomónNublense

69'🔁 Sub: Matías Plaza · Ignacio TapiaNublense

69'🔁 Sub: Franco Rami · Ignacio JeraldinoNublense

69'🔁 Sub: Jovany Campusano · Sebastian ValenciaNublense

68'🔁 Sub: Francisco Marchant · Maximiliano RomeroColo Colo

68'🔁 Sub: Álvaro Madrid · Marcos BoladosColo Colo

67'🟨 Lorenzo ReyesNublense

61'🔁 Sub: Gabriel Graciani · Fernando OvelarNublense

58'🔁 Sub: G Díaz · Lautaro PastránColo Colo

29'⚽ Lucas Molina CantoNublense

20'🟨 Diego UlloaColo Colo

16'📺 Arturo VidalColo Colo

14'⚽ Arturo Vidal assist Víctor MéndezColo Colo

Win probability minute by minute

NublenseDrawColo Colo

At kick-off19%31%50%Full time0%100%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

19%Nublense to win@5.21

31%Draw@3.28

50%Colo Colo to win@1.99

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score55%

Nublense or draw50%

Colo Colo or draw81%

Nublense to score65%

Colo Colo to score82%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-19%1-29%0-09%0-29%

Expected goals per the model: Nublense 1.04 · Colo Colo 1.74

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.78.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.4 in total · Nublense 4.0 · Colo Colo 5.4

56%Over 8.5@1.79

45%Over 9.5@2.20

36%Over 10.5@2.79

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.8

67%Over 3.5@1.49

51%Over 4.5@1.97

36%Over 5.5@2.80

⏱️ First half

47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.32

73%Goal in the 1st half@1.37

38%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.64

77%Goal in the 2st half@1.30

⚽ Goals per team

28%Nublense +1.5@3.58

52%Colo Colo +1.5@1.93

9%Nublense to win to nil@10.89

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.41Expected goals (xG)1.40

3Shots on target8

6Saves2

7Shots13

4Yellow cards3

1Corners7

0Offsides1

9Fouls9

0Red cards0

28Possession %72

Goals in the last 10 matches

Nublense · last 10 matches

7/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Colo Colo · last 10 matches

7/10+2.5 goals9/10both teams to score3.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

NublenseColo Colo

1.1Goals scored per match2.2

1.5Goals conceded per match1.1

73%Matches with over 1.5 goals73%

46%Matches with over 2.5 goals58%

54%Both teams to score62%

27%Clean sheet31%

23%Matches without scoring12%

4.0Corners won per match6.3

2.8Yellow cards per match1.8

Nublense: 26 matches · Colo Colo: 26 matches (all competitions with data).

Nublense at home · Colo Colo away

Nublense at home

5G4E4P

WLLWW

Colo Colo away

9G2E2P

DLDWW

When do they score and concede?

Nublense · goals by minute in 23 matches scored conceded

Colo Colo · goals by minute in 24 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Nublense

Scores first in 12 of 22 matches and wins 7 of them.

Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 3.

Colo Colo

Scores first in 15 of 23 matches and wins 14 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 5.

Players in form

Nublense

Fernando Ovelar · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Diego Sanhueza · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Ignacio Tapia · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Colo Colo

Marcelo Correa · 6 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches

Arturo Vidal · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

Jeyson Rojas · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

2Nublense to win

4Draws

4Colo Colo to win

10 matches · 2.7 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-17	Colo Colo 6-2 Nublense	Primera División
2025-11-01	Nublense 0-1 Colo Colo	Primera División
2025-05-19	Colo Colo 2-2 Nublense	Primera División
2024-08-29	Colo Colo 2-1 Nublense	Primera División
2024-04-06	Nublense 3-0 Colo Colo	Primera División
2023-07-25	Nublense 0-0 Colo Colo	Primera División

Standings

Liga de Primera standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	27	+29	61
2	Universidad de Chile	27	+25	51
3	U. Catolica	27	+19	49
4	Deportes Limache	27	+8	40
5	Everton de Vina	27	+8	40
6	Coquimbo Unido	26	+4	38
7	Palestino	27	+1	38
8	Concepción	27	0	38
9	D. La Serena	27	-2	37
10	Nublense	27	-10	35
11	Huachipato	26	-7	33
12	O'Higgins	27	-10	31
13	A. Italiano	27	-8	30
14	Cobresal	27	-11	27
15	Universidad de Concepcion	27	-27	26
16	Unión La Calera	27	-19	24

More stats

Referee: Juan Lara

1 matches · – yellows and – reds per match

Half-time

Nublense: 7 days since last match · Colo Colo: 8 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 20:30 UTC.