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New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC prediction
United States · Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FCPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 16:00 (Peru time) · Sports Illustrated Stadium · Referee: Pierre Luce Lauziere
Atlanta United FC to score
84%- Atlanta United FC scored in 24 of 33 matches this season
- Atlanta United FC average 1.3 goals per match
- New York Red Bulls concede 1.9 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: New York Red Bulls 2.02 · Atlanta United FC 1.83
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.85.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.3 in total · New York Red Bulls 5.1 · Atlanta United FC 5.2
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.2
⏱️ First half
42% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.63
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
New York Red Bulls: 33 matches · Atlanta United FC: 33 matches (all competitions with data).
New York Red Bulls at home · Atlanta United FC away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 13 of 26 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 13 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 11 of 26 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 15 and avoids defeat in 6.
Players in form
Emil Forsberg · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Julian Hall · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Cade Cowell · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Miguel Almirón · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Breel Embolo · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Aleksey Miranchuk · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.8 goals per match
| 2026-08-15 | Atlanta United FC 2-1 New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| 2026-02-11 | Atlanta United FC 3-2 New York Red Bulls | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2025-05-31 | New York Red Bulls 2-0 Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-03-09 | Atlanta United FC 0-0 New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-10-05 | Atlanta United FC 2-1 New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-09-21 | New York Red Bulls 2-2 Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 34 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 34 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Unión | 34 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 | DC United | 34 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 34 | -32 | 26 |
More stats
New York Red Bulls: 5 days since last match · Atlanta United FC: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 23:30 UTC.