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Nacional vs Academico Viseu prediction
Portugal · Primeira Liga
Nacional
Academico ViseuPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 10:30 (Peru time) · Estádio da Madeira · Referee: Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho
Academico Viseu or draw
76%- Academico Viseu unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 (W W L W W)
- Away, Academico Viseu are 3W 2D 0L this season
- Nacional in poor form: 4 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Nacional 1.02 · Academico Viseu 1.42
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.44.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 8.9 in total · Nacional 5.0 · Academico Viseu 3.9
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.4
⏱️ First half
53% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.30
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Nacional: 10 matches · Academico Viseu: 10 matches (all competitions with data).
Nacional at home · Academico Viseu away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 4 of 10 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 6 of 10 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
A. Njoya · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches
M. Baeza · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
M. Djalo · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
André Clóvis · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Soufiane Messeguem · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
C. Kahraman · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
9 matches · 3.0 goals per match
| 2024-03-09 | Nacional 1-1 Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga |
| 2023-10-29 | Academico Viseu 1-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| 2023-05-28 | Nacional 3-2 Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga |
| 2023-01-21 | Academico Viseu 1-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| 2022-05-07 | Nacional 1-2 Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga |
| 2021-12-29 | Academico Viseu 1-4 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | +22 | 33 |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | +20 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 11 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 | SC Braga | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Nacional | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Maritimo | 10 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 11 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | -14 | 2 |
More stats
Nacional: 6 days since last match · Academico Viseu: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:00 UTC.