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Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction
United States · Major League Soccer
Minnesota United FC
San Jose EarthquakesPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 19:00 (Peru time) · Allianz Field · Referee: Alexis Da Silva
Minnesota United FC or draw
82%- Minnesota United FC unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 (W W D W D)
- At home, Minnesota United FC are 4W 7D 5L this season
- Head to head: 5W 2D 3L for Minnesota United FC
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Minnesota United FC 2.31 · San Jose Earthquakes 1.30
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.61.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.3 in total · Minnesota United FC 5.2 · San Jose Earthquakes 5.1
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.3 · el árbitro Alexis Da Silva saca 2.0 por partido
⏱️ First half
45% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.64
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Minnesota United FC: 33 matches · San Jose Earthquakes: 33 matches (all competitions with data).
Minnesota United FC at home · San Jose Earthquakes away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 5 of 25 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 20 and avoids defeat in 11.
Scores first in 13 of 26 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 13 and avoids defeat in 8.
Players in form
Kelvin Yeboah · 3 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Joaquín Pereyra · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Mauricio González Carabalí · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Jack Jasinski · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Benjamin Kikanovic · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches
P. Judd · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.4 goals per match
| 2026-08-23 | San Jose Earthquakes 1-5 Minnesota United FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2026-04-29 | San Jose Earthquakes 4-2 Minnesota United FC | US Open Cup |
| 2025-07-13 | Minnesota United FC 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-03-09 | San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Minnesota United FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-09-01 | San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Minnesota United FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-07-21 | Minnesota United FC 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | -41 | 26 |
More stats
21 matches · 2.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Minnesota United FC: 5 days since last match · San Jose Earthquakes: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 02:30 UTC.