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Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 prediction

Bulgaria · First League

Ludogorets#3 · 30 ptsWLWWW

2 - 2Full time

CSKA 1948#4 · 29 ptsWWLWW

56%28%16%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ petar stanic 51'🟥 Emerson 73'⚽ Atanas Iliev 79'⚽ Georgi Rusev 81'⚽ Ivajlo Čočev 90'

Saturday, November 7 · 11:30 (Peru time) · Huvepharma Arena · Referee: Martin Velikov

🎯 Model pick

Ludogorets or draw

84%

Full data

Ludogorets unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 (W L W W W)
At home, Ludogorets are 5W 2D 0L this season
Head to head: 7W 0D 3L for Ludogorets

⚡ Summary

56%Ludogorets to win@1.78 49%Over 2.5 goals@2.06 50%Both teams to score@1.98 37%Corners +9.5 (8.6)@2.6852%Cards +4.5 (4.9)@1.931-1Most likely score · 13%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+8⚽ Ivajlo ČočevLudogorets

90'+2🔁 Sub: Erick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do Carmo · Bernard TekpeteyLudogorets

90'+2🔁 Sub: Caio Vidal Rocha · Nathan FernandesLudogorets

89'🟨 Edvin KurtulusLudogorets

85'🔁 Sub: Elias Correa Franco · Ognjen GasevicCSKA 1948

81'⚽ Georgi RusevCSKA 1948

80'🔁 Sub: Deroy Duarte · Amir HadžiahmetovićLudogorets

79'⚽ Atanas IlievCSKA 1948

73'🟥 EmersonCSKA 1948

71'🔁 Sub: petar stanic · Ivajlo ČočevLudogorets

71'🔁 Sub: Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz · Kwadwo DuahLudogorets

69'🔁 Sub: danilo terasenko · Atanas IlievCSKA 1948

59'🔁 Sub: Lasha Dvali · kostadin ilievCSKA 1948

56'🟨 EmersonCSKA 1948

51'⚽ petar stanicLudogorets

46'🔁 Sub: Brian Sobrero · Frederic MacielCSKA 1948

22'🟨 Brian SobreroCSKA 1948

Win probability minute by minute

LudogoretsDrawCSKA 1948

At kick-off56%28%16%Full time0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

56%Ludogorets to win@1.78

28%Draw@3.55

16%CSKA 1948 to win@6.37

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score50%

Ludogorets or draw84%

CSKA 1948 or draw44%

Ludogorets to score82%

CSKA 1948 to score58%

Most likely scores

1-113%1-011%2-010%0-09%2-19%

Expected goals per the model: Ludogorets 1.78 · CSKA 1948 0.88

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.66.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 8.6 in total · Ludogorets 4.9 · CSKA 1948 3.7

48%Over 8.5@2.10

37%Over 9.5@2.68

28%Over 10.5@3.53

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.9 · el árbitro Martin Velikov saca 6.0 por partido

68%Over 3.5@1.47

52%Over 4.5@1.93

37%Over 5.5@2.73

⏱️ First half

44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.18

69%Goal in the 1st half@1.44

33%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.03

77%Goal in the 2st half@1.29

⚽ Goals per team

53%Ludogorets +1.5@1.88

22%CSKA 1948 +1.5@4.54

32%Ludogorets to win to nil@3.10

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

10Shots on target4

0Red cards1

63Possession %37

9Corners4

1Yellow cards2

17Shots4

Goals in the last 10 matches

Ludogorets · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.1goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

CSKA 1948 · last 10 matches

7/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.5goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

LudogoretsCSKA 1948

1.9Goals scored per match1.9

0.9Goals conceded per match1.0

93%Matches with over 1.5 goals76%

50%Matches with over 2.5 goals65%

50%Both teams to score65%

36%Clean sheet24%

14%Matches without scoring24%

5.1Corners won per match4.5

2.0Yellow cards per match1.6

Ludogorets: 14 matches · CSKA 1948: 17 matches (all competitions with data).

Ludogorets at home · CSKA 1948 away

Ludogorets at home

5G2E0P

WWDWW

CSKA 1948 away

2G3E2P

WLLWD

When do they score and concede?

Ludogorets · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded

CSKA 1948 · goals by minute in 17 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Ludogorets

Scores first in 8 of 14 matches and wins 8 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 4.

CSKA 1948

Scores first in 6 of 15 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 5.

Players in form

Ludogorets

Bernard Tekpetey · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

I. Chochev · 3 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Rwan Cruz · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

CSKA 1948

Georgi Rusev · 2 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

Atanas Iliev · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Elias Correa Franco · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

7Ludogorets to win

0Draws

3CSKA 1948 to win

10 matches · 3.5 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-16	CSKA 1948 1-0 Ludogorets	First League
2026-04-25	Ludogorets 1-2 CSKA 1948	First League
2026-04-05	Ludogorets 3-0 CSKA 1948	First League
2025-10-27	CSKA 1948 5-4 Ludogorets	First League
2025-04-07	CSKA 1948 1-3 Ludogorets	First League
2024-12-16	CSKA 1948 2-3 Ludogorets	Cup

Standings

First League standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia	14	+23	34
2	Levski Sofia	13	+17	32
3	Ludogorets	13	+15	30
4	CSKA 1948	14	+17	29
5	Botev Plovdiv	14	+2	23
6	Arda Kardzhali	14	-2	21
7	Spartak Varna	14	-10	16
8	Slavia Sofia	14	0	14
9	Cherno More Varna	14	-8	13
10	Dunav Ruse	14	-7	12
11	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	14	-10	12
12	Septemvri Sofia	14	-13	11
13	Botev Vratsa	14	-13	10
14	Lokomotiv Sofia	14	-11	9

More stats

Referee: Martin Velikov

5 matches · 5.0 yellows and 1.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

Ludogorets: 7 days since last match · CSKA 1948: 8 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 19:00 UTC.