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Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia prediction
Bulgaria · First League
Levski Sofia
CSKA SofiaProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Sunday, 8 November · 10:00 (Peru time) · Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov · Referee: Nikola Popov
Levski Sofia or draw
78%- Levski Sofia unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 (W W D W D)
- At home, Levski Sofia are 9W 1D 1L this season
- Head to head: 3W 3D 4L for Levski Sofia
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Levski Sofia and CSKA Sofia meet in the First League.
The PickMania model gives Levski Sofia a 45% chance of winning, 34% for the draw and 22% for CSKA Sofia.
2.3 total goals are expected (1.4 from Levski Sofia and 0.9 from CSKA Sofia): over 2.5 goals has a 40% chance and both teams to score 49%.
The most likely score is 1-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Levski Sofia 1.39 · CSKA Sofia 0.93
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.32.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.5 in total · Levski Sofia 4.8 · CSKA Sofia 4.7
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.1
⏱️ First half
42% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.98
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Levski Sofia: 24 matches · CSKA Sofia: 24 matches (all competitions with data).
Levski Sofia at home · CSKA Sofia away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 16 of 22 matches and wins 14 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 4.
Scores first in 10 of 20 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Steven Stoyanchov · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
Mustapha Sangaré · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
Santiago Godoy · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
S. Sensi · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
J. Zwarts · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.8 goals per match
| 2026-09-09 | Levski Sofia 2-4 CSKA Sofia | Super Cup |
| 2026-05-16 | Levski Sofia 2-0 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| 2026-04-25 | CSKA Sofia 1-3 Levski Sofia | First League |
| 2026-04-13 | CSKA Sofia 1-1 Levski Sofia | First League |
| 2025-11-08 | Levski Sofia 0-1 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| 2025-03-02 | CSKA Sofia 2-2 Levski Sofia | First League |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 12 | +20 | 32 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 13 | +20 | 31 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 13 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 14 | +17 | 29 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 13 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 14 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 13 | -11 | 13 |
| 9 | Cherno More Varna | 14 | -8 | 13 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Septemvri Sofia | 14 | -13 | 11 |
| 13 | Botev Vratsa | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 14 | -11 | 9 |
More stats
7 matches · – yellows and – reds per match
Levski Sofia: 2 days since last match · CSKA Sofia: 2 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 12:47 UTC.