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Leganés vs Albacete prediction

Spain · Segunda División

Leganés#18 · 12 ptsLDLLL

1 - 3Full time

Albacete#21 · 10 ptsWWLLL

34%33%33%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Antonio Pacheco Ruiz 20'⚽ Álex Rubio Roldán 45'⚽ Higinio Marín 59' (p)⚽ Álvaro Morata 68'

Saturday, November 7 · 12:30 (Peru time) · Municipal de Butarque · Referee: Gordillo

🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

73%

Full data

2+ goals in 8 of 12 Leganés matches
Also in 11 of 12 Albacete matches
Picky expects 2.6 goals (1.3 - 1.3)

⚡ Summary

34%Leganés to win@2.94 46%Over 2.5 goals@2.16 54%Both teams to score@1.84 48%Corners +9.5 (9.6)@2.1065%Cards +4.5 (5.8)@1.531-1Most likely score · 15%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+8📺 Francisco MonteroLeganés

86'❌ Álvaro Morata (missed pen.)Leganés

85'🟨 Álvaro MorataLeganés

84'🟨 Diego MariñoAlbacete

82'🟨 Pepe SánchezAlbacete

81'🔁 Sub: Jesús Vallejo · Pepe SánchezAlbacete

81'🔁 Sub: Enric Franquesa · Suleiman El Haddadi MohamedLeganés

80'🟨 Unax del CuraLeganés

80'🟨 Carlos NevaAlbacete

71'🔁 Sub: Victor Valverde da Silva · Dani BernabéuAlbacete

68'🔁 Sub: Ismael Gharbi · Andres CamposLeganés

68'⚽ Álvaro Morata assist Alejandro San Cristobal SanchezLeganés

65'🟨 Álvaro TejeroLeganés

61'🔁 Sub: Higinio Marín · Mario Soberon GutierrezAlbacete

61'🔁 Sub: Víctor San Bartolomé · Agustin Medina DelgadoAlbacete

59'⚽ Higinio Marín (pen.)Albacete

57'🟨 Patrick SokoLeganés

47'🟨 Víctor San BartoloméAlbacete

45'+7🟨 Zico BuurmeesterLeganés

45'+6🟨 Jesús VallejoAlbacete

45'+3⚽ Álex Rubio RoldánAlbacete

45'🔁 Sub: Álex Millán · Patrick SokoLeganés

45'🔁 Sub: Rubén Peña · Álvaro TejeroLeganés

45'🔁 Sub: Álex Rubio Roldán · Roberto Gonzalez BayonAlbacete

45'🔁 Sub: Zico Buurmeester · Unax del CuraLeganés

41'📺 Álex MillánLeganés

34'🟨 Álex Rubio RoldánAlbacete

20'⚽ Antonio Pacheco Ruiz assist Sergio Ortuno DiazAlbacete

Win probability minute by minute

LeganésDrawAlbacete

At kick-off34%33%33%Full time0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

34%Leganés to win@2.94

33%Draw@3.02

33%Albacete to win@3.04

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals27%

Both teams to score54%

Leganés or draw67%

Albacete or draw66%

Leganés to score72%

Albacete to score72%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-010%1-08%0-18%2-17%

Expected goals per the model: Leganés 1.30 · Albacete 1.27

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.57.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.6 in total · Leganés 3.8 · Albacete 5.8

58%Over 8.5@1.73

48%Over 9.5@2.10

38%Over 10.5@2.65

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.8

79%Over 3.5@1.26

65%Over 4.5@1.53

51%Over 5.5@1.97

⏱️ First half

46% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.18

69%Goal in the 1st half@1.45

33%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.04

75%Goal in the 2st half@1.33

⚽ Goals per team

37%Leganés +1.5@2.68

36%Albacete +1.5@2.76

18%Leganés to win to nil@5.60

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.42Expected goals (xG)2.07

7Shots on target5

2Saves6

2Offsides3

17Shots12

5Yellow cards6

9Corners5

19Fouls14

1Red cards0

63Possession %37

Goals in the last 10 matches

Leganés · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score3.1goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Albacete · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.0goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

LeganésAlbacete

0.8Goals scored per match0.8

1.7Goals conceded per match1.9

67%Matches with over 1.5 goals92%

33%Matches with over 2.5 goals58%

33%Both teams to score58%

25%Clean sheet8%

50%Matches without scoring33%

3.4Corners won per match5.8

3.2Yellow cards per match2.3

Leganés: 12 matches · Albacete: 12 matches (all competitions with data).

Leganés at home · Albacete away

Leganés at home

2G1E2P

DLLWW

Albacete away

0G1E5P

LLLDL

When do they score and concede?

Leganés · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded

Albacete · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Leganés

Scores first in 4 of 11 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 1.

Albacete

Scores first in 4 of 12 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Leganés

Álex Millán · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches

Álvaro Morata · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez · 0 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches

Albacete

Victor Valverde da Silva · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

R. Gonzalez · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Higinio Marín · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

4Leganés to win

2Draws

4Albacete to win

10 matches · 2.1 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-07-17	Leganés 0-0 Albacete	Friendlies Clubs
2026-04-11	Leganés 2-1 Albacete	Segunda División
2026-01-04	Albacete 1-3 Leganés	Segunda División
2025-12-04	Leganés 1-2 Albacete	Copa del Rey
2024-05-12	Albacete 1-0 Leganés	Segunda División
2023-08-27	Leganés 2-0 Albacete	Segunda División

Standings

Segunda División standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Almería	13	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	-1	22
8	Girona	13	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	-2	20
11	Córdoba	13	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	-7	12
18	Leganés	13	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	-5	11
20	Cádiz	13	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	-20	5

More stats

Half-time

Leganés: 5 days since last match · Albacete: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 20:00 UTC.