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Inter Miami vs Charlotte prediction
USA · Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
CharlottePre-match probabilities
Saturday, 7 November · 16:00 (Peru time) · Nu Stadium · Referee: Rubiel Vazquez
Over 2.5 goals
79%- 3+ goals in 25 of 33 Inter Miami matches
- Also in 24 of 33 Charlotte matches
- Picky expects 4.4 goals (3.0 - 1.4)
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Inter Miami 2.96 · Charlotte 1.44
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 4.40.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.7 in total · Inter Miami 5.5 · Charlotte 4.2
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.6
⏱️ First half
45% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.96
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Inter Miami: 33 matches · Charlotte: 33 matches (all competitions with data).
Inter Miami at home · Charlotte away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 14 of 27 matches and wins 10 of them.
Concedes first in 13 and avoids defeat in 9.
Scores first in 14 of 26 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 6.
Players in form
Lionel Messi · 3 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Germán Berterame · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Luis Suárez · 1 gol, 3 assists in 5 matches
Idan Toklomati Jorno · 4 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Liel Abada · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Rodolfo Aloko · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.4 goals per match
| 2026-03-14 | Charlotte 0-0 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-09-13 | Charlotte 3-0 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-03-09 | Inter Miami 1-0 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-09-28 | Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-07-03 | Charlotte 1-2 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-10-22 | Charlotte 1-0 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 34 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 34 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Unión | 34 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 | DC United | 34 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 34 | -32 | 26 |
More stats
27 matches · – yellows and – reds per match
Inter Miami: 5 days since last match · Charlotte: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 23:30 UTC.