Home › United States · Major League Soccer › Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City prediction
United States · Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
St. Louis CityPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 19:00 (Peru time) · BBVA Compass Stadium · Referee: Allen Chapman
Over 1.5 goals
77%- 2+ goals in 21 of 33 Houston Dynamo matches
- Also in 28 of 33 St. Louis City matches
- Head to head: 2.5 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Houston Dynamo 1.41 · St. Louis City 1.38
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.79.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.5 in total · Houston Dynamo 4.5 · St. Louis City 5.0
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.1
⏱️ First half
46% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.28
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Houston Dynamo: 33 matches · St. Louis City: 33 matches (all competitions with data).
Houston Dynamo at home · St. Louis City away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 15 of 25 matches and wins 12 of them.
Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 16 of 26 matches and wins 11 of them.
Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 4.
Players in form
Guilherme · 2 goles, 2 assists in 3 matches
Mateusz Bogusz · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
H. Herrera · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Rafael Navarro Leal · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Sang-bin Jung · 1 gol, 1 assists in 3 matches
Daniel Edelman · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.5 goals per match
| 2026-08-23 | St. Louis City 2-1 Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
| 2026-05-20 | St. Louis City 2-2 Houston Dynamo | US Open Cup |
| 2025-08-31 | St. Louis City 2-3 Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-06-29 | Houston Dynamo 1-0 St. Louis City | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-10-06 | St. Louis City 3-0 Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-05-05 | Houston Dynamo 0-0 St. Louis City | Major League Soccer |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | -41 | 26 |
More stats
27 matches · – yellows and – reds per match
Houston Dynamo: 5 days since last match · St. Louis City: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 02:30 UTC.