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FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids prediction

United States · Major League Soccer
FC Dallas badgeFC Dallas#2 · 58 ptsDLWDW
3 - 1Full time
Colorado Rapids badgeColorado Rapids#12 · 43 ptsLDWDD

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Morgan Whittaker 47'⚽ Joaquín Valiente Cioli 75'⚽ Kaick da Silva Ferreira 88'⚽ Santiago Moreno 90'

Saturday, November 7 · 19:00 (Peru time) · Toyota Stadium(Texas) · Referee: Drew Fischer

Picky
🎯 Model pick

FC Dallas to score

83%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+5🟨 Kosi ThompsonColorado Rapids
90'+2⚽ Santiago Moreno assist Logan FarringtonFC Dallas
88'⚽ Kaick da Silva Ferreira assist nolan norrisFC Dallas
83'🔁 Sub: Paxten Aaronson · Theodore Ku-DiPietroColorado Rapids
83'🔁 Sub: Joshua Atencio · Youssef MazizColorado Rapids
83'🔁 Sub: Noah Cobb · Donavan PhillipColorado Rapids
81'🟨 Matthew Elliott WellsColorado Rapids
76'🔁 Sub: Joaquín Valiente Cioli · Logan FarringtonFC Dallas
75'⚽ Joaquín Valiente Cioli assist Kaick da Silva FerreiraFC Dallas
75'🔁 Sub: Herman Johansson · Samuel SarverFC Dallas
67'🔁 Sub: Bernard Kamungo · Ran BinyaminFC Dallas
67'🔁 Sub: Daniel Job · Santiago MorenoFC Dallas
57'🔁 Sub: Sebastien Ibeagha · nolan norrisFC Dallas
47'⚽ Morgan Whittaker assist Georgi MinoungouColorado Rapids
45'🔁 Sub: Hamzat Ojediran · Georgi MinoungouColorado Rapids
45'🔁 Sub: Sayed Abu Farkhi · Darren YapiColorado Rapids
37'🟨 Noah CobbColorado Rapids

Win probability minute by minute

FC DallasDrawColorado Rapids
At kick-off49%30%21%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

49%FC Dallas to win@2.02
30%Draw@3.39
21%Colorado Rapids to win@4.76
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score59%
FC Dallas or draw79%
Colorado Rapids or draw51%
FC Dallas to score83%
Colorado Rapids to score68%

Most likely scores

1-113%2-19%1-09%2-08%0-08%

Expected goals per the model: FC Dallas 1.78 · Colorado Rapids 1.14

How many goals will there be?

5%0 goals16%1 goals23%2 goals22%3 goals16%4 goals17%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.92.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.0 in total · FC Dallas 4.4 · Colorado Rapids 5.6

61%Over 8.5@1.63
51%Over 9.5@1.96
41%Over 10.5@2.43
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.6 · el árbitro Drew Fischer saca 4.0 por partido

64%Over 3.5@1.57
47%Over 4.5@2.12
32%Over 5.5@3.08

⏱️ First half

46% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.33

74%Goal in the 1st half@1.36
39%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.59
80%Goal in the 2st half@1.26

⚽ Goals per team

53%FC Dallas +1.5@1.88
32%Colorado Rapids +1.5@3.17
24%FC Dallas to win to nil@4.09

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

3.65Expected goals (xG)0.73
10Shots on target1
4Offsides4
26Shots6
6Corners4
0Saves6
0Yellow cards2
11Fouls12
0Red cards0
51Possession %49

Goals in the last 10 matches

FC Dallas · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5vs Portland Timbers: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Austin: 0-0 0-0 vs Los Angeles FC: 1-0 1-0 en Charlotte: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Seattle Sounders: 1-0 1-0 en Houston Dynamo: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs San Jose Earthquakes: 3-0 3-0 vs Columbus Crew: 0-2 0-2 en Sporting Kansas City: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Colorado Rapids: 3-1 3-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Colorado Rapids · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.3goals per match
2.5vs CF Montreal: 1-0 1-0 vs Seattle Sounders: 3-3 3-3 ambosen Los Angeles Galaxy: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs San Jose Earthquakes: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Minnesota United FC: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Portland Timbers: 0-0 0-0 vs Vancouver Whitecaps: 1-0 1-0 en San Jose Earthquakes: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Chicago Fire: 2-4 2-4 ambosat FC Dallas: 1-3 1-3 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

FC DallasColorado Rapids
1.8Goals scored per match1.4
1.5Goals conceded per match1.4
76%Matches with over 1.5 goals64%
64%Matches with over 2.5 goals48%
61%Both teams to score48%
24%Clean sheet33%
24%Matches without scoring24%
4.8Corners won per match5.1
2.4Yellow cards per match2.6

FC Dallas: 33 matches · Colorado Rapids: 33 matches (all competitions with data).

FC Dallas at home · Colorado Rapids away

FC Dallas at home
8G5E3P
LWWWD
Colorado Rapids away
2G4E10P
DDLDL

When do they score and concede?

FC Dallas · goals by minute in 27 matches scored conceded
550-159716-309831-454446-6041061-7514776-90
Colorado Rapids · goals by minute in 27 matches scored conceded
430-158516-304531-455546-605761-7571276-90

The first goal

FC Dallas

Scores first in 18 of 25 matches and wins 11 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Colorado Rapids

Scores first in 16 of 25 matches and wins 9 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

FC Dallas

P. Musa · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Kaick · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Herman Johansson · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Colorado Rapids

Georgi Minoungou · 1 gol, 3 assists in 5 matches

Morgan Whittaker · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Darren Yapi · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

3FC Dallas to win
2Draws
5Colorado Rapids to win

10 matches · 3.3 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-24Colorado Rapids 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
2025-09-21FC Dallas 3-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
2025-03-02Colorado Rapids 3-3 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
2024-09-01FC Dallas 2-3 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
2024-04-21Colorado Rapids 2-1 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
2023-10-15FC Dallas 1-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer

Standings

Major League Soccer standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps34+4064
2FC Dallas34+1158
3St. Louis City34+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34+652
5Houston Dynamo34051
6Los Angeles FC34+1247
7Portland Timbers34+146
8Seattle Sounders34-246
9Real Salt Lake34+145
10Minnesota United FC34-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34-744
12Colorado Rapids34-343
13San Diego34-638
14Austin34-2334
15Sporting Kansas City34-4126

More stats

Referee: Drew Fischer

25 matches · 4.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

FC Dallas: 7 days since last match · Colorado Rapids: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 02:30 UTC.

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