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FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC prediction
United States · Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Nashville SCPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 16:00 (Peru time) · TQL Stadium · Referee: Tori Penso
Over 1.5 goals
83%- 2+ goals in 30 of 33 FC Cincinnati matches
- Also in 23 of 33 Nashville SC matches
- Head to head: 3.4 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: FC Cincinnati 1.43 · Nashville SC 1.76
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.19.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.3 in total · FC Cincinnati 4.6 · Nashville SC 5.8
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.8
⏱️ First half
43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.36
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
FC Cincinnati: 33 matches · Nashville SC: 33 matches (all competitions with data).
FC Cincinnati at home · Nashville SC away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 14 of 27 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 13 and avoids defeat in 8.
Scores first in 21 of 24 matches and wins 17 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Evander · 1 gol, 3 assists in 5 matches
Tom Barlow · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Ayoub Jabbari · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Sam Surridge · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
H. Mukhtar · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
A. Najar · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.4 goals per match
| 2026-08-30 | Nashville SC 4-0 FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-09-13 | FC Cincinnati 2-1 Nashville SC | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-03-30 | Nashville SC 1-2 FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-09-22 | Nashville SC 2-2 FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-05-29 | FC Cincinnati 0-2 Nashville SC | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-08-05 | FC Cincinnati 1-1 Nashville SC | Leagues Cup |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 34 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 34 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Unión | 34 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 | DC United | 34 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 34 | -32 | 26 |
More stats
15 matches · – yellows and – reds per match
FC Cincinnati: 7 days since last match · Nashville SC: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 23:30 UTC.