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FC Botosani vs Oţelul prediction

Romania · Liga I
FC Botosani badgeFC Botosani#12 · 15 ptsLLLWL
1 - 1Full time
Oţelul badgeOţelul#14 · 13 ptsDLDLL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ N. Pedro 69'⚽ R. Idowu 90'

Monday, November 9 · 13:00 (Peru time) · Stadionul Municipal Botoșani · Referee: George Catalin Roman

Picky
🎯 Today's AI Top Pick

FC Botosani or draw

77%
Full data · One of today's AI Top Picks

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+5⚽ R. Idowu assist M. KovtalyukFC Botosani
89'🟨 C. Dur-BozoancaOţelul
88'🔁 Sub: N. Pedro · KazuOţelul
88'🔁 Sub: Patrick · D. NeicuOţelul
77'🔁 Sub: Andrezinho · Joao PaulinoOţelul
77'🔁 Sub: A. Ciobanu · T. LunguOţelul
76'🔁 Sub: S. Bodisteanu · A. TiganasuFC Botosani
70'🔁 Sub: Z. Mitrov · R. IdowuFC Botosani
69'⚽ N. Pedro assist AndrezinhoOţelul
69'🟨 M. FrunzaOţelul
63'🔁 Sub: D. Bordun · M. FrunzaOţelul
63'🔁 Sub: S. Mailat · M. KovtalyukFC Botosani
46'🔁 Sub: E. Papa · S. BodisteanuFC Botosani
37'🟨 P. IacobOţelul
30'🟨 E. PapaFC Botosani

Win probability minute by minute

FC BotosaniDrawOţelul
At kick-off46%32%21%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

46%FC Botosani to win@2.16
32%Draw@3.11
21%Oţelul to win@4.65
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score55%
FC Botosani or draw79%
Oţelul or draw54%
FC Botosani to score79%
Oţelul to score65%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-010%1-010%2-19%2-08%

Expected goals per the model: FC Botosani 1.59 · Oţelul 1.05

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals19%1 goals25%2 goals22%3 goals14%4 goals13%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.64.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.5 in total · FC Botosani 4.5 · Oţelul 5.0

57%Over 8.5@1.75
47%Over 9.5@2.15
37%Over 10.5@2.71
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.2

71%Over 3.5@1.40
56%Over 4.5@1.80
41%Over 5.5@2.47

⏱️ First half

43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.13

68%Goal in the 1st half@1.48
31%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.21
78%Goal in the 2st half@1.28

⚽ Goals per team

47%FC Botosani +1.5@2.12
28%Oţelul +1.5@3.54
25%FC Botosani to win to nil@4.00

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0Shots on target3
3Shots8
10Fouls17
2Corners1
5Offsides4
54Possession %46
1Yellow cards3
2Saves0

Goals in the last 10 matches

FC Botosani · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5vs Csikszereda: 1-0 1-0 en Farul Constanta: 0-0 0-0 vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: 5-0 5-0 en Arges Pitesti: 1-1 1-1 ambosen CFR 1907 Cluj: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Uta Arad: 2-0 2-0 en Dinamo Bucuresti: 0-2 0-2 vs Petrolul Ploiesti: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Universitatea Craiova: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Oţelul: 1-1 1-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Oţelul · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.8goals per match
2.5vs Arges Pitesti: 1-0 1-0 en FC Voluntari: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Rapid: 0-1 0-1 en Universitatea Cluj: 0-3 0-3 vs Corvinul Hunedoara: 2-3 2-3 ambosen FCSB: 0-1 0-1 vs Csikszereda: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Farul Constanta: 3-4 3-4 ambosvs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: 1-1 1-1 ambosat FC Botosani: 1-1 1-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

FC BotosaniOţelul
1.3Goals scored per match1.1
1.4Goals conceded per match1.6
79%Matches with over 1.5 goals71%
50%Matches with over 2.5 goals43%
57%Both teams to score64%
36%Clean sheet7%
21%Matches without scoring29%
4.6Corners won per match5.2
2.6Yellow cards per match1.9

FC Botosani: 14 matches · Oţelul: 14 matches (all competitions with data).

FC Botosani at home · Oţelul away

FC Botosani at home
3G2E1P
LWWWD
Oţelul away
0G2E4P
LLLDL

When do they score and concede?

FC Botosani · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
320-153516-303231-452346-604261-753576-90
Oţelul · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
230-152216-301431-453346-604661-754476-90

The first goal

FC Botosani

Scores first in 4 of 12 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 3.

Oţelul

Scores first in 4 of 14 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 4.

Players in form

FC Botosani

S. Mailat · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

M. Kovtalyuk · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

S. Bodisteanu · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Oţelul

D. Bordun · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

M. Silva · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

N. Pedro · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

2FC Botosani to win
4Draws
3Oţelul to win

9 matches · 1.4 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-04-25FC Botosani 1-1 OţelulLiga I
2026-02-02FC Botosani 0-0 OţelulLiga I
2025-09-14Oţelul 0-1 FC BotosaniLiga I
2025-04-14FC Botosani 0-1 OţelulLiga I
2024-11-08Oţelul 0-0 FC BotosaniLiga I
2024-07-15FC Botosani 2-3 OţelulLiga I

Standings

Liga I standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Universitatea Craiova15+2433
2Dinamo Bucuresti15+2133
3Rapid15+1031
4Petrolul Ploiesti15+227
5Universitatea Cluj15+626
6Farul Constanta15+224
7Corvinul Hunedoara15+122
8FCSB15-121
9CFR 1907 Cluj15-119
10Uta Arad15-418
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe15-918
12FC Botosani15-115
13Arges Pitesti15-715
14Oţelul15-613
15FC Voluntari15-188
16Csikszereda15-196

More stats

Half-time

FC Botosani: 8 days since last match · Oţelul: 8 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-09 20:30 UTC.

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