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Farul Constanta vs Rapid prediction

Romania · Liga I
Farul Constanta badgeFarul Constanta#6 · 24 ptsWWLWL
1 - 1Full time
Rapid badgeRapid#3 · 31 ptsWLWWW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ V. Bubanja 32'⚽ R. Tanasa 53'

Saturday, 7 November · 10:30 (Peru time) · Stadionul Central-Academia Gheorghe Hagi · Referee: Istvan Kovacs

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Rapid to score

79%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

82'🟨 S. SinyanRapid
80'🔁 Sub: R. Pop · W. L. OuedraogoRapid
73'🔁 Sub: F. Stojilkovic · J. KodorRapid
72'🔁 Sub: A. Pascanu · C. VulturarRapid
72'🔁 Sub: C. Grameni · A. DobreRapid
62'🔁 Sub: C. Petrila · M. KamaraRapid
61'🔁 Sub: R. Tanasa · N. GrigoryanFarul Constanta
53'⚽ R. TanasaFarul Constanta
46'🔁 Sub: L. Pellegrini · S. BouzamouchaFarul Constanta
45'+2🟨 N. AberdinFarul Constanta
45'+2🟨 F. StojilkovicRapid
45'+2🟨 C. GrameniRapid
32'⚽ V. Bubanja assist A. PascanuRapid

Win probability minute by minute

Farul ConstantaDrawRapid
At kick-off24%32%44%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

24%Farul Constanta to win@4.23
32%Draw@3.10
44%Rapid to win@2.27
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score55%
Farul Constanta or draw56%
Rapid or draw76%
Farul Constanta to score67%
Rapid to score79%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-010%0-19%1-29%0-28%

Expected goals per the model: Farul Constanta 1.11 · Rapid 1.56

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals18%1 goals25%2 goals22%3 goals15%4 goals13%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.67.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.5 in total · Farul Constanta 4.2 · Rapid 5.3

57%Over 8.5@1.75
47%Over 9.5@2.15
37%Over 10.5@2.71
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.9

53%Over 3.5@1.90
36%Over 4.5@2.79
23%Over 5.5@4.43

⏱️ First half

43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.14

68%Goal in the 1st half@1.47
31%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.18
78%Goal in the 2st half@1.28

⚽ Goals per team

30%Farul Constanta +1.5@3.28
46%Rapid +1.5@2.16
12%Farul Constanta to win to nil@8.51

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

4Shots on target3
17Shots14
10Fouls14
6Corners3
47Possession %53
1Yellow cards3
2Saves3

Goals in the last 10 matches

Farul Constanta · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.0goals per match
2.5en Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs FC Botosani: 0-0 0-0 en CFR 1907 Cluj: 0-0 0-0 vs Uta Arad: 4-2 4-2 ambosen Dinamo Bucuresti: 0-4 0-4 vs Petrolul Ploiesti: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Universitatea Craiova: 0-2 0-2 vs Oţelul: 4-3 4-3 ambosen FC Voluntari: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Rapid: 1-1 1-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Rapid · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.0goals per match
2.5en Petrolul Ploiesti: 2-0 2-0 vs Universitatea Craiova: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Oţelul: 1-0 1-0 vs FC Voluntari: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Arges Pitesti: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Universitatea Cluj: 4-3 4-3 ambosvs Corvinul Hunedoara: 2-0 2-0 en FCSB: 1-4 1-4 ambosvs Csikszereda: 2-0 2-0 at Farul Constanta: 1-1 1-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Farul ConstantaRapid
1.6Goals scored per match1.6
1.5Goals conceded per match0.9
86%Matches with over 1.5 goals71%
57%Matches with over 2.5 goals36%
64%Both teams to score50%
21%Clean sheet43%
29%Matches without scoring14%
3.9Corners won per match5.7
1.4Yellow cards per match2.4

Farul Constanta: 14 matches · Rapid: 14 matches (all competitions with data).

Farul Constanta at home · Rapid away

Farul Constanta at home
5G1E0P
WWWDW
Rapid away
3G2E1P
LWWWD

When do they score and concede?

Farul Constanta · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
310-159216-304531-453546-601361-753576-90
Rapid · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
220-153116-303031-454346-603361-758476-90

The first goal

Farul Constanta

Scores first in 7 of 12 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 2.

Rapid

Scores first in 9 of 13 matches and wins 7 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Farul Constanta

M. Ahlinvi · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

R. Marincean · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

C. Ganea · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Rapid

F. Stojilkovic · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

C. Grameni · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

A. Dobre · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

4Farul Constanta to win
2Draws
4Rapid to win

10 matches · 3.9 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-02-15Farul Constanta 3-1 RapidLiga I
2025-10-04Rapid 3-1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
2025-02-24Farul Constanta 1-3 RapidLiga I
2024-10-21Rapid 5-0 Farul ConstantaLiga I
2024-04-24Farul Constanta 3-1 RapidLiga I
2024-03-15Rapid 1-2 Farul ConstantaLiga I

Standings

Liga I standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Universitatea Craiova15+2433
2Dinamo Bucuresti15+2133
3Rapid15+1031
4Petrolul Ploiesti15+227
5Universitatea Cluj15+626
6Farul Constanta15+224
7Corvinul Hunedoara15+122
8FCSB15-121
9CFR 1907 Cluj15-119
10Uta Arad15-418
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe15-918
12FC Botosani15-115
13Arges Pitesti15-715
14Oţelul15-613
15FC Voluntari15-188
16Csikszereda15-196

More stats

Half-time

Farul Constanta: 5 days since last match · Rapid: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 18:00 UTC.

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