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Estoril vs Maritimo prediction
Portugal · Primeira Liga
Estoril
MaritimoProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Sunday, 8 November · 10:30 (Peru time) · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota · Referee: Jose Bessa
Estoril to score
80%- Maritimo concede 2.1 goals per match
- Maritimo kept a clean sheet in only 1 of 10
- Maritimo in poor form: 4 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Estoril and Maritimo meet in the Primeira Liga.
The PickMania model gives Estoril a 47% chance of winning, 30% for the draw and 23% for Maritimo.
2.7 total goals are expected (1.6 from Estoril and 1.1 from Maritimo): over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance and both teams to score 55%.
The most likely score is 1-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Estoril 1.64 · Maritimo 1.10
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.74.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 8.5 in total · Estoril 4.5 · Maritimo 4.0
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.4
⏱️ First half
40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.10
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Estoril: 10 matches · Maritimo: 10 matches (all competitions with data).
Estoril at home · Maritimo away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 1 of 9 matches and wins 0 of them.
Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 3 of 10 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
Peixinho · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
R. Guitane · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
R. Sanchez · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
I. Ayuma · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
G. Szalai · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
R. Correia · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.0 goals per match
| 2023-05-27 | Estoril 3-1 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
| 2023-01-22 | Maritimo 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| 2022-02-05 | Maritimo 0-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| 2021-08-27 | Estoril 2-1 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
| 2021-01-27 | Maritimo 1-3 Estoril | Taça de Portugal |
| 2018-04-07 | Estoril 1-1 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | +22 | 33 |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | +20 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 11 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 | SC Braga | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Nacional | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Maritimo | 10 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 11 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | -14 | 2 |
More stats
6 matches · – yellows and – reds per match
Estoril: 7 days since last match · Maritimo: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 20:47 UTC.