Home › Spain · Segunda División › Córdoba vs AD Ceuta FC
Córdoba vs AD Ceuta FC prediction
Spain · Segunda División
Córdoba
AD Ceuta FCPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 12:30 (Peru time) · Estadio Nuevo Arcángel · Referee: Morilla Turrion
Córdoba or draw
85%- Córdoba unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 (D W W L W)
- At home, Córdoba are 3W 0D 2L this season
- AD Ceuta FC in poor form: 4 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Córdoba 2.30 · AD Ceuta FC 1.15
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.45.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.3 in total · Córdoba 4.5 · AD Ceuta FC 4.9
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 6.3
⏱️ First half
39% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.36
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Córdoba: 12 matches · AD Ceuta FC: 12 matches (all competitions with data).
Córdoba at home · AD Ceuta FC away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 8 of 12 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 2 of 12 matches and wins 0 of them.
Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
E. Garcia · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Cristian Carracedo · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Percan · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Jordi Escobar · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Yann Bodiger · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
A. Camacho · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
8 matches · 3.1 goals per match
| 2026-02-25 | AD Ceuta FC 3-2 Córdoba | Segunda División |
| 2025-11-02 | Córdoba 2-0 AD Ceuta FC | Segunda División |
| 2024-02-18 | AD Ceuta FC 1-1 Córdoba | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| 2023-11-12 | Córdoba 3-3 AD Ceuta FC | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| 2023-03-12 | Córdoba 1-1 AD Ceuta FC | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| 2022-11-06 | AD Ceuta FC 1-2 Córdoba | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almería | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 | Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 | Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 | Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 | Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 | Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 | Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 | Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Córdoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 | Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 | Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 | Leganés | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 | Cádiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 | Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More stats
1 matches · 4.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 1.00 penalties
Córdoba: 7 days since last match · AD Ceuta FC: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 20:00 UTC.