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Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew prediction
United States · Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Columbus CrewPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 16:00 (Peru time) · SeatGeek Stadium · Referee: Rosendo Mendoza
Chicago Fire to score
84%- Chicago Fire scored in 30 of 33 matches this season
- Chicago Fire average 1.9 goals per match
- Columbus Crew concede 1.5 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Chicago Fire 1.86 · Columbus Crew 1.61
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.47.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.1 in total · Chicago Fire 4.2 · Columbus Crew 4.9
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.1
⏱️ First half
48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.68
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Chicago Fire: 33 matches · Columbus Crew: 33 matches (all competitions with data).
Chicago Fire at home · Columbus Crew away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 15 of 27 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 7.
Scores first in 14 of 27 matches and wins 10 of them.
Concedes first in 13 and avoids defeat in 4.
Players in form
Jonathan Bamba · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Maren Haile-Selassie · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Robert Lewandowski · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Dylan Chambost · 0 goles, 5 assists in 5 matches
Gonzalo Tapia · 3 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
Anass Zaroury · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.8 goals per match
| 2026-03-08 | Columbus Crew 0-0 Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-09-28 | Chicago Fire 2-0 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-02-23 | Columbus Crew 4-2 Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-05-19 | Chicago Fire 1-3 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-03-10 | Columbus Crew 2-1 Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-09-20 | Columbus Crew 3-0 Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 34 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 34 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Unión | 34 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 | DC United | 34 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 34 | -32 | 26 |
More stats
26 matches · – yellows and – reds per match
Chicago Fire: 6 days since last match · Columbus Crew: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 23:30 UTC.