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Castellón vs Eibar prediction
Spain · Segunda División
Castellón
EibarProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Friday, 6 November · 14:30 (Peru time) · Estadio Municipal Castalia
Castellón or draw
82%- Castellón unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 (D W W L D)
- At home, Castellón are 3W 2D 0L this season
- Head to head: 2W 1D 1L for Castellón
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Castellón and Eibar meet in the Segunda División.
The PickMania model gives Castellón a 59% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 18% for Eibar.
2.6 total goals are expected (1.8 from Castellón and 0.8 from Eibar): over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance and both teams to score 46%.
The most likely score is 1-0.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Castellón 1.75 · Eibar 0.83
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.58.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.2 in total · Castellón 5.6 · Eibar 3.6
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.2
⏱️ First half
51% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.32
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Castellón: 12 matches · Eibar: 12 matches (all competitions with data).
Castellón at home · Eibar away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 9 of 11 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 6 of 12 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
Israel Suero Fernández · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
M. Orozco · 0 goles, 3 assists in 4 matches
A. Jakobsen · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Pejiño · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
I. Gil · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Javier Marton · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
4 matches · 1.5 goals per match
| 2026-05-31 | Castellón 2-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
| 2025-10-12 | Eibar 0-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
| 2025-02-15 | Castellón 2-0 Eibar | Segunda División |
| 2024-08-17 | Eibar 1-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almería | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 | Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 | Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 | Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 | Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 | Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 | Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 | Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Córdoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 | Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 | Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 | Leganés | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 | Cádiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 | Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More stats
Castellón: 5 days since last match · Eibar: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-05 22:47 UTC.