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Cádiz vs Oviedo prediction

Spain · Segunda División

Cádiz#20 · 10 ptsLWLLW

1 - 2Full time

Oviedo#9 · 21 ptsLDWWL

36%33%31%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Estanis Pedrola 22'⚽ Ilyas Chaira 38'⚽ Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi 83'

Saturday, November 7 · 10:15 (Peru time) · Nuevo Mirandilla · Referee: Marta Huerta de Aza

🎯 Model pick

Cádiz to score

74%

Partial data

Cádiz scored in 8 of 12 matches this season
Cádiz average 1.3 goals per match
Oviedo concede 1.3 goals per match

⚡ Summary

36%Cádiz to win@2.75 46%Over 2.5 goals@2.17 55%Both teams to score@1.82 55%Corners +9.5 (10.3)@1.8371%Cards +4.5 (6.3)@1.401-1Most likely score · 15%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+3🟨 David CostasOviedo

87'🟨 Urko Iruretagoiena LertxundiCádiz

84'🟨 Dilan ZárateCádiz

83'⚽ Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi assist Antonio CorderoCádiz

78'🟨 Enzo Pérez MirandaOviedo

76'🟨 Beñat de Jesús DomingoCádiz

72'🔁 Sub: Giorgi Gocholeishvili · Beñat de Jesús DomingoCádiz

71'🟨 David JimenezOviedo

67'🔁 Sub: Ilyas Chaira · Daniel VillahermosaOviedo

66'🟨 Cristian GutiérrezCádiz

63'🔁 Sub: Javier Castro · Noah Obioma UkwuijeCádiz

61'🔁 Sub: Estanis Pedrola · Jacobo GonzálezOviedo

61'🔁 Sub: Mikel Goti Lopez · Alberto ReinaOviedo

61'🔁 Sub: Alexandru Mihai Isfan · Pablo SaenzOviedo

54'🟨 Ilyas ChairaOviedo

45'🔁 Sub: Borja Vazquez · Cristian GutiérrezCádiz

45'🔁 Sub: Bojan Kovacevic · Urko Iruretagoiena LertxundiCádiz

45'🔁 Sub: Aimen Moueffek · Javier OntiverosCádiz

44'🟨 Youness Lachhab DidiOviedo

38'⚽ Ilyas ChairaOviedo

29'🔁 Sub: Dani Calvo · David CostasOviedo

22'⚽ Estanis Pedrola assist Enzo Pérez MirandaOviedo

Win probability minute by minute

CádizDrawOviedo

At kick-off36%33%31%Full time0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

36%Cádiz to win@2.75

33%Draw@3.02

31%Oviedo to win@3.28

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals26%

Both teams to score55%

Cádiz or draw69%

Oviedo or draw64%

Cádiz to score74%

Oviedo to score70%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-011%1-09%0-18%2-18%

Expected goals per the model: Cádiz 1.34 · Oviedo 1.22

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.56.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.3 in total · Cádiz 4.7 · Oviedo 5.6

65%Over 8.5@1.55

55%Over 9.5@1.83

45%Over 10.5@2.24

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 6.3

84%Over 3.5@1.20

71%Over 4.5@1.40

58%Over 5.5@1.74

⏱️ First half

40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.01

64%Goal in the 1st half@1.57

27%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.71

79%Goal in the 2st half@1.27

⚽ Goals per team

39%Cádiz +1.5@2.58

34%Oviedo +1.5@2.90

19%Cádiz to win to nil@5.17

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.19Expected goals (xG)0.79

4Shots on target4

2Saves3

2Offsides1

15Shots12

4Yellow cards5

8Corners4

9Fouls16

0Red cards0

47Possession %53

Goals in the last 10 matches

Cádiz · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Oviedo · last 10 matches

9/10+2.5 goals8/10both teams to score3.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

CádizOviedo

1.3Goals scored per match1.4

1.3Goals conceded per match1.3

75%Matches with over 1.5 goals67%

50%Matches with over 2.5 goals58%

58%Both teams to score50%

17%Clean sheet42%

33%Matches without scoring25%

4.3Corners won per match5.8

3.2Yellow cards per match3.1

Cádiz: 12 matches · Oviedo: 12 matches (all competitions with data).

Cádiz at home · Oviedo away

Cádiz at home

2G2E3P

WLWLL

Oviedo away

3G1E2P

DWLLW

When do they score and concede?

Cádiz · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded

Oviedo · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Cádiz

Scores first in 3 of 11 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 3.

Oviedo

Scores first in 6 of 10 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Cádiz

Antonio Cordero · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

V. Kopotun · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

A. Moueffek · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

Oviedo

Carlos Dominguez · 4 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Mikel Goti Lopez · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Jacobo González · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

4Cádiz to win

1Draws

5Oviedo to win

10 matches · 2.3 goals per match

Recent meetings
2025-06-01	Oviedo 2-1 Cádiz	Segunda División
2024-10-26	Cádiz 2-0 Oviedo	Segunda División
2020-07-04	Cádiz 2-0 Oviedo	Segunda División
2019-12-15	Oviedo 0-2 Cádiz	Segunda División
2019-02-03	Oviedo 2-1 Cádiz	Segunda División
2018-09-01	Cádiz 1-1 Oviedo	Segunda División

Standings

Segunda División standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Almería	13	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	-1	22
8	Girona	13	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	-2	20
11	Córdoba	13	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	-7	12
18	Leganés	13	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	-5	11
20	Cádiz	13	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	-20	5

More stats

Referee: Marta Huerta de Aza

9 matches · – yellows and – reds per match

Half-time

Cádiz: 4 days since last match · Oviedo: 5 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 17:50 UTC.