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Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II prediction
Spain · Segunda División
Burgos
Celta de Vigo IIPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 08:00 (Peru time) · Municipal El Plantio · Referee: Morales Moreno Pablo
Burgos or draw
83%- At home, Burgos are 4W 2D 1L this season
- #3 in the table, Celta de Vigo II #16
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Burgos 1.73 · Celta de Vigo II 0.92
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.65.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.0 in total · Burgos 4.6 · Celta de Vigo II 4.5
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.4
⏱️ First half
61% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.63
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Burgos: 12 matches · Celta de Vigo II: 12 matches (all competitions with data).
Burgos at home · Celta de Vigo II away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 5 of 11 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 4.
Scores first in 6 of 11 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Javier Llabrés Exposito · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Jon Karrikaburu · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Oier Luengo Redondo · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Alvaro·Marin Sesma · 4 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Aldrine Kibet · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
O. Marcos · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
2 matches · 1.5 goals per match
| 2021-05-09 | Burgos 1-0 Celta de Vigo II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| 2021-04-18 | Celta de Vigo II 1-1 Burgos | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almería | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 | Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 | Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 | Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 | Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 | Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 | Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 | Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Córdoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 | Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 | Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 | Leganés | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 | Cádiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 | Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More stats
Burgos: 5 days since last match · Celta de Vigo II: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 15:30 UTC.