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Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti prediction

Romania · Liga I
Arges Pitesti badgeArges Pitesti#13 · 15 ptsLLDLL
2 - 1Full time
Dinamo Bucuresti badgeDinamo Bucuresti#2 · 33 ptsWDWWW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ R. Sierra 38'⚽ L. Sadriu 62' (p.p.)⚽ M. Mamadou 90'

Friday, November 6 · 13:30 (Peru time) · Stadionul Orășenesc · Referee: Florin Andrei

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Dinamo Bucuresti or draw

85%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+6🟨 T. GoncalvesArges Pitesti
90'+4🔁 Sub: D. Oancea · S. BalaureArges Pitesti
90'+1⚽ M. MamadouArges Pitesti
89'🟨 GaruttiArges Pitesti
88'🔁 Sub: D. Irimia · I. TarbaDinamo Bucuresti
88'🔁 Sub: D. Armstrong · A. MusiDinamo Bucuresti
77'🔁 Sub: R. Sierra · O. AlagbeArges Pitesti
77'🔁 Sub: R. Matos · M. MamadouArges Pitesti
68'🔁 Sub: V. Rata · R. MoldoveanuArges Pitesti
68'🔁 Sub: I. Radescu · T. GoncalvesArges Pitesti
64'🟨 C. TofanArges Pitesti
63'🔁 Sub: D. Pinto · M. KaramokoDinamo Bucuresti
62'⚽ L. Sadriu (own goal)Dinamo Bucuresti
45'+1🟨 D. ZandbergenDinamo Bucuresti
45'🟨 V. RataArges Pitesti
38'⚽ R. Sierra assist D. OanceaArges Pitesti
15'🟨 D. OanceaArges Pitesti

Win probability minute by minute

Arges PitestiDrawDinamo Bucuresti
At kick-off15%28%56%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

15%Arges Pitesti to win@6.49
28%Draw@3.54
56%Dinamo Bucuresti to win@1.77
Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams to score48%
Arges Pitesti or draw44%
Dinamo Bucuresti or draw85%
Arges Pitesti to score55%
Dinamo Bucuresti to score81%

Most likely scores

0-113%1-113%0-211%0-011%1-29%

Expected goals per the model: Arges Pitesti 0.80 · Dinamo Bucuresti 1.69

How many goals will there be?

8%0 goals21%1 goals26%2 goals21%3 goals13%4 goals11%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.49.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.8 in total · Arges Pitesti 4.3 · Dinamo Bucuresti 5.4

59%Over 8.5@1.69
49%Over 9.5@2.05
39%Over 10.5@2.56
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.3

73%Over 3.5@1.37
58%Over 4.5@1.74
42%Over 5.5@2.35

⏱️ First half

48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.18

69%Goal in the 1st half@1.44
33%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.02
73%Goal in the 2st half@1.37

⚽ Goals per team

19%Arges Pitesti +1.5@5.23
50%Dinamo Bucuresti +1.5@1.99
9%Arges Pitesti to win to nil@11.63

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2Shots on target5
7Shots19
14Fouls8
6Corners7
2Offsides1
30Possession %70
4Yellow cards1
5Saves1

Goals in the last 10 matches

Arges Pitesti · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.0goals per match
2.5en Oţelul: 0-1 0-1 vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: 0-1 0-1 en FC Voluntari: 0-1 0-1 vs FC Botosani: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Rapid: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs CFR 1907 Cluj: 0-1 0-1 en Universitatea Cluj: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Uta Arad: 0-1 0-1 en Corvinul Hunedoara: 0-2 0-2 vs Dinamo Bucuresti: 2-1 2-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Dinamo Bucuresti · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.9goals per match
2.5vs Universitatea Cluj: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Corvinul Hunedoara: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs FCSB: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Csikszereda: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Farul Constanta: 4-0 4-0 en Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: 2-0 2-0 vs FC Botosani: 2-0 2-0 en CFR 1907 Cluj: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Uta Arad: 2-0 2-0 at Arges Pitesti: 1-2 1-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Arges PitestiDinamo Bucuresti
0.6Goals scored per match2.2
1.1Goals conceded per match0.6
43%Matches with over 1.5 goals86%
14%Matches with over 2.5 goals50%
29%Both teams to score50%
21%Clean sheet43%
50%Matches without scoring7%
5.1Corners won per match5.9
2.4Yellow cards per match2.6

Arges Pitesti: 14 matches · Dinamo Bucuresti: 14 matches (all competitions with data).

Arges Pitesti at home · Dinamo Bucuresti away

Arges Pitesti at home
2G2E3P
LLDLD
Dinamo Bucuresti away
3G3E1P
DWWDW

When do they score and concede?

Arges Pitesti · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
100-153616-300231-451346-602061-751576-90
Dinamo Bucuresti · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
220-153116-309131-454146-603261-7510276-90

The first goal

Arges Pitesti

Scores first in 6 of 14 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 0.

Dinamo Bucuresti

Scores first in 10 of 14 matches and wins 9 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Arges Pitesti

D. Oancea · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

R. Matos · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Y. Pirvu · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Dinamo Bucuresti

D. Armstrong · 2 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

C. Cirjan · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

A. Soro · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

5Arges Pitesti to win
2Draws
3Dinamo Bucuresti to win

10 matches · 3.2 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-10Dinamo Bucuresti 2-1 Arges PitestiLiga I
2026-04-04Arges Pitesti 1-1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
2026-03-01Dinamo Bucuresti 0-1 Arges PitestiLiga I
2025-10-24Arges Pitesti 1-1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
2023-06-03Arges Pitesti 4-2 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
2023-05-29Dinamo Bucuresti 6-1 Arges PitestiLiga I

Standings

Liga I standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Universitatea Craiova15+2433
2Dinamo Bucuresti15+2133
3Rapid15+1031
4Petrolul Ploiesti15+227
5Universitatea Cluj15+626
6Farul Constanta15+224
7Corvinul Hunedoara15+122
8FCSB15-121
9CFR 1907 Cluj15-119
10Uta Arad15-418
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe15-918
12FC Botosani15-115
13Arges Pitesti15-715
14Oţelul15-613
15FC Voluntari15-188
16Csikszereda15-196

More stats

Half-time

Arges Pitesti: 6 days since last match · Dinamo Bucuresti: 5 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 21:00 UTC.

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