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A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido prediction
Chile · Liga de Primera
A. Italiano
Coquimbo UnidoPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 10:30 (Peru time) · Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida · Referee: Matias Humberto Assadi Quintana
Coquimbo Unido to score
75%- Coquimbo Unido scored in 26 of 33 matches this season
- Coquimbo Unido average 1.4 goals per match
- A. Italiano concede 1.4 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: A. Italiano 1.17 · Coquimbo Unido 1.42
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.59.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.9 in total · A. Italiano 4.4 · Coquimbo Unido 5.4
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.8
⏱️ First half
44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.14
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
A. Italiano: 33 matches · Coquimbo Unido: 33 matches (all competitions with data).
A. Italiano at home · Coquimbo Unido away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 13 of 28 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 15 and avoids defeat in 7.
Scores first in 15 of 28 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 13 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
César Pinares · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Giovani Chiaverano Meroi · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Felipe Salomoni · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Benjamín Chandía · 2 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches
Guido Vadalá · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Nicolás Johansen · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.1 goals per match
| 2026-05-16 | Coquimbo Unido 3-0 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| 2025-08-23 | A. Italiano 0-1 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
| 2025-03-30 | Coquimbo Unido 2-1 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| 2024-08-24 | Coquimbo Unido 1-1 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| 2024-03-28 | A. Italiano 0-1 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
| 2023-08-25 | A. Italiano 1-1 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 27 | +29 | 61 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 27 | +25 | 51 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 27 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportes Limache | 27 | +8 | 40 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 27 | +8 | 40 |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | +4 | 38 |
| 7 | Palestino | 27 | +1 | 38 |
| 8 | Concepción | 27 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | D. La Serena | 27 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Nublense | 27 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Huachipato | 26 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 27 | -10 | 31 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 27 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 27 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 27 | -27 | 26 |
| 16 | Unión La Calera | 27 | -19 | 24 |
More stats
A. Italiano: 5 days since last match · Coquimbo Unido: 8 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:00 UTC.