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Zorya Luhansk vs LNZ Cherkasy prediction

Ukraine · Premier League
Zorya Luhansk badgeZorya Luhansk#7 · 18 ptsWDWWL
1 - 2Full time
LNZ Cherkasy badgeLNZ Cherkasy#6 · 18 ptsDWWLW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Papa Ndiaga Yade 7' (p)⚽ Papa Ndiaga Yade 50'⚽ Jakov Basic 64'

Sunday, November 8 · 06:00 (Peru time) · Slavutych-Arena · Referee: Mikola Balakin

Picky
🎯 Model pick

LNZ Cherkasy or draw

78%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

87'🟨 Talles Brener De PaulaLNZ Cherkasy
87'🟨 Vitalii PonomarevLNZ Cherkasy
85'🟨 Korede Yemi AdedoyinLNZ Cherkasy
84'🔁 Sub: Yakubu adam · Talles Brener De PaulaLNZ Cherkasy
80'🔁 Sub: Domagoj jelavic · Vladlen YurchenkoZorya Luhansk
78'🔁 Sub: Gennadiy Pasich · Korede Yemi AdedoyinLNZ Cherkasy
77'🔁 Sub: Artem Machelyuk · Vasyl KravetsZorya Luhansk
67'🟨 Dejan PoparaZorya Luhansk
64'⚽ Jakov Basic assist Domagoj jelavicZorya Luhansk
62'🟨 Igor GorbachZorya Luhansk
58'🔁 Sub: Kyrylo Dryshlyuk · Dejan PoparaZorya Luhansk
58'🔁 Sub: Maksym Boyko · Jakov BasicZorya Luhansk
53'🔁 Sub: Roman Didyk · Yegor TverdokhlibLNZ Cherkasy
50'⚽ Papa Ndiaga Yade assist Denys KuzykLNZ Cherkasy
45'🔁 Sub: sallieu bah · Ivan NesterenkoZorya Luhansk
44'🟨 Maksym BoykoZorya Luhansk
7'🟨 Oleksandr SaputinZorya Luhansk
7'⚽ Papa Ndiaga Yade (pen.)LNZ Cherkasy

Win probability minute by minute

Zorya LuhanskDrawLNZ Cherkasy
At kick-off22%35%44%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

22%Zorya Luhansk to win@4.60
35%Draw@2.89
44%LNZ Cherkasy to win@2.29
Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams to score50%
Zorya Luhansk or draw56%
LNZ Cherkasy or draw78%
Zorya Luhansk to score61%
LNZ Cherkasy to score75%

Most likely scores

1-116%0-013%0-112%0-29%1-28%

Expected goals per the model: Zorya Luhansk 0.93 · LNZ Cherkasy 1.39

How many goals will there be?

10%0 goals23%1 goals26%2 goals20%3 goals12%4 goals9%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.32.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.2 in total · Zorya Luhansk 4.4 · LNZ Cherkasy 4.8

53%Over 8.5@1.88
43%Over 9.5@2.33
33%Over 10.5@2.99
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.3

41%Over 3.5@2.42
26%Over 4.5@3.89
15%Over 5.5@6.76

⏱️ First half

35% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.81

56%Goal in the 1st half@1.80
20%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@5.11
78%Goal in the 2st half@1.28

⚽ Goals per team

24%Zorya Luhansk +1.5@4.19
40%LNZ Cherkasy +1.5@2.47
12%Zorya Luhansk to win to nil@8.05

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2Corners7
4Yellow cards2
3Shots on target6
0Red cards0
58Possession %42
7Shots12

Goals in the last 10 matches

Zorya Luhansk · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.3goals per match
2.5en Polessya: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs FC Kharkiv: 0-3 0-3 en Veres Rivne: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Bukovyna: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Dynamo Kyiv: 0-2 0-2 en Livyi Bereh: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Chornomorets: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Shakhtar Donetsk: 0-0 0-0 vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: 1-0 1-0 vs LNZ Cherkasy: 1-2 1-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

LNZ Cherkasy · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score2.2goals per match
2.5en Karpaty: 0-3 0-3 vs Chornomorets: 2-0 2-0 vs Veres Rivne: 0-1 0-1 en Dynamo Kyiv: 0-0 0-0 vs Obolon'-Brovar: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Shakhtar Donetsk: 0-3 0-3 vs Kudrivka: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Kryvbas KR: 3-0 3-0 en Livyi Bereh: 0-0 0-0 at Zorya Luhansk: 2-1 2-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Zorya LuhanskLNZ Cherkasy
1.2Goals scored per match0.8
1.2Goals conceded per match0.8
82%Matches with over 1.5 goals50%
45%Matches with over 2.5 goals42%
55%Both teams to score17%
27%Clean sheet58%
27%Matches without scoring67%
5.5Corners won per match4.4
1.8Yellow cards per match1.3

Zorya Luhansk: 11 matches · LNZ Cherkasy: 12 matches (all competitions with data).

Zorya Luhansk at home · LNZ Cherkasy away

Zorya Luhansk at home
3G0E3P
WWLLL
LNZ Cherkasy away
1G4E2P
DWLDL

When do they score and concede?

Zorya Luhansk · goals by minute in 11 matches scored conceded
110-152216-303131-452246-603461-752376-90
LNZ Cherkasy · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded
400-150016-302031-452046-601561-751476-90

The first goal

Zorya Luhansk

Scores first in 6 of 10 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 2.

LNZ Cherkasy

Scores first in 4 of 7 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Zorya Luhansk

sallieu bah · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

B. Kushnirenko · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

I. Gorbach · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

LNZ Cherkasy

T. Cara · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Talles Brener · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

P. Yade · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

0Zorya Luhansk to win
2Draws
4LNZ Cherkasy to win

6 matches · 2.2 goals per match

Recent meetings
2025-12-13LNZ Cherkasy 2-0 Zorya LuhanskPremier League
2025-08-02Zorya Luhansk 0-0 LNZ CherkasyPremier League
2025-05-04LNZ Cherkasy 1-1 Zorya LuhanskPremier League
2024-11-04Zorya Luhansk 1-2 LNZ CherkasyPremier League
2024-05-19LNZ Cherkasy 2-1 Zorya LuhanskPremier League
2023-11-12Zorya Luhansk 1-2 LNZ CherkasyPremier League

Standings

Premier League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12+1729
2Polessya11+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11+723
4FC Kharkiv9+1121
5Karpaty11+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11+218
7Zorya Luhansk12-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12-510
10Bukovyna11-510
11Chornomorets11-59
12Livyi Bereh10-29
13Veres Rivne12-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11-138
15Kudrivka12-178
16Kryvbas KR10-87

More stats

Referee: Mikola Balakin

1 matches · 5.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 1.00 penalties

Half-time

Zorya Luhansk: 6 days since last match · LNZ Cherkasy: 15 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 13:30 UTC.

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