PickManiaAI predictions

Home › Czechia · Czech Liga › Zlin vs Slovácko

Zlin vs Slovácko prediction

Czechia · Czech Liga
Zlin badgeZlin#16 · 3 ptsDDLLD
0 - 1Full time
Slovácko badgeSlovácko#15 · 10 ptsLLLWD

Pre-match probabilities

🟥 Prince Mbatshi Mukuba 22'⚽ David Puskac 61'

Saturday, 7 November · 09:00 (Peru time) · Letná Stadion · Referee: Karel Roucek

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Slovácko to score

75%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+1🟨 Filip VaškoSlovácko
88'🔁 Sub: Gigli Ndefe · Filip VaškoSlovácko
88'🟨 Cletus NombilZlin
86'🔁 Sub: Miloš Kratochvíl · Jiří ŠtefanZlin
79'🔁 Sub: Tihomir Kostadinov · Filip HruškaSlovácko
74'🔁 Sub: Michal Cupák · Daniel SmigaZlin
74'🔁 Sub: David Machalík · Cletus NombilZlin
70'🔁 Sub: Lukas Vorlicky · Pavel JuroskaSlovácko
70'🔁 Sub: David Puskac · Jan FialaSlovácko
62'🔁 Sub: Frank Appiah · Lukas BartosakZlin
62'🔁 Sub: Tomáš Poznar · Stanley Guzorochi KanuZlin
61'⚽ David PuskacSlovácko
45'+3🟨 Frank AppiahZlin
45'🔁 Sub: Simon Sloncik · Martin SviderskySlovácko
30'🟨 Simon SloncikSlovácko
22'🟥 Prince Mbatshi MukubaZlin
19'📺 Lukas VorlickySlovácko

Win probability minute by minute

ZlinDrawSlovácko
At kick-off29%33%39%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

29%Zlin to win@3.50
33%Draw@3.06
39%Slovácko to win@2.58
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score56%
Zlin or draw61%
Slovácko or draw71%
Zlin to score70%
Slovácko to score75%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-010%0-19%1-28%1-07%

Expected goals per the model: Zlin 1.20 · Slovácko 1.42

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals19%1 goals25%2 goals22%3 goals14%4 goals13%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.62.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.0 in total · Zlin 4.4 · Slovácko 4.7

52%Over 8.5@1.93
41%Over 9.5@2.42
32%Over 10.5@3.13
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.1 · el árbitro Karel Roucek saca 3.5 por partido

55%Over 3.5@1.81
39%Over 4.5@2.59
25%Over 5.5@4.02

⏱️ First half

45% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.19

70%Goal in the 1st half@1.44
33%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.00
76%Goal in the 2st half@1.31

⚽ Goals per team

34%Zlin +1.5@2.96
42%Slovácko +1.5@2.41
15%Zlin to win to nil@6.89

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.37Expected goals (xG)1.84
1Shots on target5
4Saves1
2Offsides1
1Red cards0
4Shots21
2Yellow cards2
3Corners3
16Fouls9
33Possession %67

Goals in the last 10 matches

Zlin · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.6goals per match
2.5vs Slovan Liberec: 0-1 0-1 en Zbrojovka Brno: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Teplice: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Hradec Králové: 1-2 1-2 ambosen FK Jablonec: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Slavia Praha: 0-1 0-1 en Pardubice: 0-3 0-3 vs Sigma Olomouc: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Artis: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Slovácko: 0-1 0-1

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Slovácko · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.7goals per match
2.5en Mlada Boleslav: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Plzen: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Pardubice: 0-0 0-0 en Bohemians 1905: 0-2 0-2 vs Baník Ostrava: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Slovan Liberec: 2-0 2-0 vs Zbrojovka Brno: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Sparta Praha: 1-5 1-5 ambosvs Teplice: 1-3 1-3 ambosat Zlin: 1-0 1-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

ZlinSlovácko
0.8Goals scored per match0.9
2.0Goals conceded per match2.0
77%Matches with over 1.5 goals85%
54%Matches with over 2.5 goals54%
62%Both teams to score69%
0%Clean sheet15%
38%Matches without scoring23%
4.2Corners won per match3.9
2.3Yellow cards per match1.8

Zlin: 13 matches · Slovácko: 13 matches (all competitions with data).

Zlin at home · Slovácko away

Zlin at home
0G1E6P
DLLLL
Slovácko away
1G1E5P
LWLDL

When do they score and concede?

Zlin · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded
350-151316-301431-452746-601461-753376-90
Slovácko · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded
230-150316-301831-453246-600761-756376-90

The first goal

Zlin

Scores first in 3 of 13 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 1.

Slovácko

Scores first in 3 of 12 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Zlin

Miloš Kratochvíl · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

D. Smiga · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Michal Cupák · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Slovácko

Marek Havlík · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

Pavel Juroska · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Jocelin Behiratche · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

3Zlin to win
1Draws
6Slovácko to win

10 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-23Zlin 1-0 SlováckoCzech Liga
2025-11-23Slovácko 2-0 ZlinCzech Liga
2025-07-26Zlin 1-1 SlováckoCzech Liga
2024-02-18Zlin 2-1 SlováckoCzech Liga
2023-09-02Slovácko 1-0 ZlinCzech Liga
2023-03-19Slovácko 3-0 ZlinCzech Liga

Standings

Czech Liga standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Slavia Praha14+2834
2Slovan Liberec13+826
3Mlada Boleslav14+725
4Sparta Praha14+1224
5Sigma Olomouc14+224
6Teplice14021
7FK Jablonec14-221
8Plzen14+720
9Bohemians 190514020
10Zbrojovka Brno14-520
11Hradec Králové14-118
12Pardubice14-117
13Baník Ostrava13-1314
14Artis14-1310
15Slovácko14-1310
16Zlin14-163

More stats

Referee: Karel Roucek

12 matches · 3.5 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.25 penalties

Half-time

Zlin: 7 days since last match · Slovácko: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 16:30 UTC.

Get the AI Top Picks in your inbox

Every morning, the day's picks with their data. Free, and you can unsubscribe any time.