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Zemun vs IMT Novi Beograd prediction

Serbia · Super Liga
Zemun badgeZemun#14 · 7 ptsLWLLD
1 - 1Full time
IMT Novi Beograd badgeIMT Novi Beograd#4 · 23 ptsDLWWD

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Nemanja Kalat 51'🟥 Dimitrije Tabakovic 67'⚽ Ismael Casas 87'

Saturday, November 7 · 07:00 (Peru time) · Gradski Stadion Zemun

Picky
🎯 Model pick

IMT Novi Beograd to score

82%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

87'⚽ Ismael Casas assist François KamanoIMT Novi Beograd
87'🔁 Sub: nikola glisic · Vladimir RadocajIMT Novi Beograd
80'🔁 Sub: Uros Ljubomirac · Milan JokićZemun
80'🔁 Sub: Dejan Paradina · Đorđe JovanovićZemun
74'🟨 Daniel AghahowaIMT Novi Beograd
73'🔁 Sub: Nemanja Kalat · Andrej MilosevicZemun
73'🔁 Sub: Luka Gutic · Djordje RadivojevicIMT Novi Beograd
67'🟥 Dimitrije TabakovicZemun
62'🔁 Sub: nemanja belakovic · Nikola DovedanZemun
58'🔁 Sub: Tadija Cojic · François KamanoIMT Novi Beograd
58'🔁 Sub: Karl Kezy Fabien · Daniel AghahowaIMT Novi Beograd
57'🟨 Nemanja KalatZemun
51'⚽ Nemanja Kalat assist Dimitrije TabakovicZemun
42'🟨 Dejan ParadinaZemun
25'📺 Dimitrije TabakovicZemun
25'🟨 Dimitrije TabakovicZemun

Win probability minute by minute

ZemunDrawIMT Novi Beograd
At kick-off15%27%58%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

15%Zemun to win@6.83
27%Draw@3.66
58%IMT Novi Beograd to win@1.72
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score49%
Zemun or draw42%
IMT Novi Beograd or draw85%
Zemun to score55%
IMT Novi Beograd to score82%

Most likely scores

0-113%1-112%0-211%0-010%1-29%

Expected goals per the model: Zemun 0.80 · IMT Novi Beograd 1.76

How many goals will there be?

8%0 goals20%1 goals25%2 goals22%3 goals14%4 goals12%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.56.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 8.3 in total · Zemun 3.1 · IMT Novi Beograd 5.2

44%Over 8.5@2.29
34%Over 9.5@2.98
25%Over 10.5@4.01
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.6

76%Over 3.5@1.31
62%Over 4.5@1.62
47%Over 5.5@2.14

⏱️ First half

41% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.05

65%Goal in the 1st half@1.54
28%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.56
78%Goal in the 2st half@1.28

⚽ Goals per team

19%Zemun +1.5@5.23
53%IMT Novi Beograd +1.5@1.90
8%Zemun to win to nil@12.55

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.54Expected goals (xG)1.21
2Shots on target3
3Saves1
1Offsides1
1Red cards0
4Shots15
2Yellow cards1
3Corners9
6Fouls18
33Possession %67

Goals in the last 10 matches

Zemun · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.4goals per match
2.5en OFK Beograd: 0-1 0-1 vs FK Crvena Zvezda: 0-2 0-2 en Vojvodina: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Radnik Surdulica: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Novi Pazar: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Železničar Pančevo: 0-3 0-3 en Cukaricki: 0-3 0-3 vs Macva: 1-0 1-0 en FK Partizan: 0-3 0-3 vs IMT Novi Beograd: 1-1 1-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

IMT Novi Beograd · last 10 matches
2/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score1.7goals per match
2.5en Radnicki 1923: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Mladost Lucani: 2-0 2-0 en OFK Beograd: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs FK Crvena Zvezda: 0-1 0-1 en Vojvodina: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Radnik Surdulica: 1-0 1-0 en Novi Pazar: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Železničar Pančevo: 0-1 0-1 vs Cukaricki: 0-0 0-0 at Zemun: 1-1 1-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

ZemunIMT Novi Beograd
0.5Goals scored per match1.1
2.0Goals conceded per match0.6
71%Matches with over 1.5 goals50%
57%Matches with over 2.5 goals29%
29%Both teams to score36%
7%Clean sheet43%
64%Matches without scoring36%
2.9Corners won per match5.2
2.7Yellow cards per match2.5

Zemun: 14 matches · IMT Novi Beograd: 14 matches (all competitions with data).

Zemun at home · IMT Novi Beograd away

Zemun at home
1G2E4P
WLDLL
IMT Novi Beograd away
3G2E2P
WDDLL

When do they score and concede?

Zemun · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
130-151516-300431-452546-600761-753476-90
IMT Novi Beograd · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
030-151116-303231-454146-602061-755276-90

The first goal

Zemun

Scores first in 3 of 14 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 11 and avoids defeat in 2.

IMT Novi Beograd

Scores first in 5 of 12 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Zemun

Godswill Vadze · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

V. Bakic · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches

D. Petrovic · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

IMT Novi Beograd

C. Keita · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

N. Glisic · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

K. Fabien · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

0Zemun to win
1Draws
2IMT Novi Beograd to win

3 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-07-25IMT Novi Beograd 4-0 ZemunSuper Liga
2021-04-07IMT Novi Beograd 2-0 ZemunPrva Liga
2020-10-02Zemun 0-0 IMT Novi BeogradPrva Liga

Standings

Super Liga standings
#TeamPGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda15+3243
2Vojvodina15+1732
3Železničar Pančevo14+1229
4IMT Novi Beograd15+623
5Radnicki 192315+323
6Radnik Surdulica15+223
7Cukaricki15022
8Novi Pazar15-119
9Mladost Lucani15-918
10FK Partizan15-117
11Macva15-1313
12OFK Beograd15-1211
13Radnicki NIS14-158
14Zemun15-217

More stats

Half-time

Zemun: 5 days since last match · IMT Novi Beograd: 5 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 14:30 UTC.

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