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Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava prediction
Czechia · Czech Liga
Zbrojovka Brno
Baník OstravaPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 12:00 (Peru time) · Mestsky Fotbalovy Stadion Srbska · Referee: Ondrej Berka
Zbrojovka Brno to score
80%- Zbrojovka Brno average 1.2 goals per match
- Baník Ostrava concede 1.8 goals per match
- Baník Ostrava in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Zbrojovka Brno 1.61 · Baník Ostrava 1.04
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.65.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.0 in total · Zbrojovka Brno 4.6 · Baník Ostrava 5.5
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.7 · el árbitro Ondrej Berka saca 4.2 por partido
⏱️ First half
36% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.96
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Zbrojovka Brno: 13 matches · Baník Ostrava: 12 matches (all competitions with data).
Zbrojovka Brno at home · Baník Ostrava away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 7 of 13 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 4 of 11 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 0.
Players in form
Tadeáš Vachoušek · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Lukáš Penxa · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Amadou Dante · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
F. Sancl · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
M. Frydrych · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Vit Skrkon · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
5 matches · 2.6 goals per match
| 2023-05-06 | Baník Ostrava 4-0 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| 2023-02-18 | Zbrojovka Brno 2-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| 2022-08-31 | Baník Ostrava 1-2 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| 2021-05-01 | Baník Ostrava 1-1 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| 2020-12-23 | Zbrojovka Brno 0-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 14 | +28 | 34 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 13 | +8 | 26 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 14 | +7 | 25 |
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 14 | +12 | 24 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 14 | +2 | 24 |
| 6 | Teplice | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Plzen | 14 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 | Bohemians 1905 | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Zbrojovka Brno | 14 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 14 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 13 | -13 | 14 |
| 14 | Artis | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 16 | Zlin | 14 | -16 | 3 |
More stats
14 matches · 4.0 yellows and 0.17 reds per match · 0.17 penalties
Zbrojovka Brno: 7 days since last match · Baník Ostrava: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 19:30 UTC.