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Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town prediction

England · FA Cup

Wimborne TownWWDDW

2 - 0Full time

Crawley TownLWLL

23%23%54%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ S. Yang 9'⚽ Cameron Munn 79'

Sunday, November 8 · 10:00 (Peru time) · The Cuthbury

🎯 Model pick

Crawley Town to score

83%

Partial data

⚡ Summary

54%Crawley Town to win@1.84 58%Over 2.5 goals@1.73 57%Both teams to score@1.75 1-1Most likely score · 10%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+7🟨 Ángel Francisco Díaz VillaWimborne Town

90'🟨 Jackson KingWimborne Town

85'🔁 Sub: Samuel Roberts · Tyler EdmondsonWimborne Town

85'🔁 Sub: Cameron Munn · Finley Jude ToghillWimborne Town

85'🔁 Sub: Owen Roundell · Josh CarmichaelWimborne Town

84'🟨 Charlie BarkerCrawley Town

79'⚽ Cameron Munn assist Jackson KingWimborne Town

76'🔁 Sub: Jonathan Russell · Malcolm EbioweiCrawley Town

72'🟨 Nathan TinsdaleCrawley Town

71'🔁 Sub: Max Francisco Bustamante Macaire · Jackson KingWimborne Town

69'🔁 Sub: Priestley Farquharson · Ben HeneghanCrawley Town

61'🟨 Cameron MunnWimborne Town

59'🔁 Sub: Joe Smith · Max Francisco Bustamante MacaireWimborne Town

51'🟨 Samuel RobertsWimborne Town

45'🔁 Sub: Kai Jennings · Nathan TinsdaleCrawley Town

45'🔁 Sub: Danilo Orsi · Pemi AderojuCrawley Town

45'🔁 Sub: Lewis Richards · Josh FlintCrawley Town

15'🟨 Joe SmithWimborne Town

9'⚽ S. Yang assist Ángel Francisco Díaz VillaWimborne Town

Win probability minute by minute

Wimborne TownDrawCrawley Town

At kick-off23%23%54%Full time100%0%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

23%Wimborne Town to win@4.40

23%Draw@4.35

54%Crawley Town to win@1.84

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals38%

Both teams to score57%

Wimborne Town or draw46%

Crawley Town or draw77%

Wimborne Town to score68%

Crawley Town to score83%

Most likely scores

1-110%0-19%1-29%0-28%0-07%

Expected goals per the model: Wimborne Town 1.19 · Crawley Town 1.95

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.14.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

17% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.52

41%Goal in the 1st half@2.45

10%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@10.27

93%Goal in the 2st half@1.08

⚽ Goals per team

33%Wimborne Town +1.5@3.00

58%Crawley Town +1.5@1.72

10%Wimborne Town to win to nil@10.03

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

5Shots on target2

2Saves3

2Offsides2

8Shots12

5Yellow cards2

4Corners4

9Fouls12

0Red cards0

58Possession %42

Goals in the last 10 matches

Wimborne Town · last 7 matches

2/7+2.5 goals4/7both teams to score2.0goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Crawley Town · last 3 matches

0/3+2.5 goals0/3both teams to score1.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Wimborne TownCrawley Town

1.3Goals scored per match1.0

0.7Goals conceded per match0.5

67%Matches with over 1.5 goals50%

33%Matches with over 2.5 goals0%

67%Both teams to score0%

33%Clean sheet50%

17%Matches without scoring50%

Wimborne Town: 6 matches · Crawley Town: 2 matches (all competitions with data).

Wimborne Town at home · Crawley Town away

Wimborne Town at home

1G2E0P

WDD

Crawley Town away

1G0E1P

When do they score and concede?

Wimborne Town · goals by minute in 1 matches scored conceded

Crawley Town · goals by minute in 2 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Wimborne Town

Scores first in 1 of 1 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 0 and avoids defeat in 0.

Crawley Town

Scores first in 1 of 2 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Wimborne Town

Sin datos

Crawley Town

D. Orsi-Dadomo · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

G. Di Biase · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches

K. Gordon · 0 goles, 1 assists in 2 matches

More stats

Half-time

Wimborne Town: 22 days since last match · Crawley Town: 92 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 17:30 UTC.