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Willem II vs PEC Zwolle prediction
Netherlands · Eredivisie
Willem II
PEC ZwollePre-match probabilities
Friday, November 6 · 14:00 (Peru time) · Koning Willem II Stadion · Referee: Allard Lindhout
PEC Zwolle to score
83%- Willem II concede 3.5 goals per match
- Willem II kept a clean sheet in only 0 of 11
- Willem II in poor form: 5 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Willem II 1.30 · PEC Zwolle 1.80
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.10.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 11.2 in total · Willem II 5.6 · PEC Zwolle 5.6
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 2.6 · el árbitro Allard Lindhout saca 2.1 por partido
⏱️ First half
35% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.09
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Willem II: 11 matches · PEC Zwolle: 11 matches (all competitions with data).
Willem II at home · PEC Zwolle away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 3 of 11 matches and wins 0 of them.
Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 5 of 11 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
V. van Crooij · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Anass Zarrouk · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
J. Slory · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Thijs Oosting · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Dylan Mbayo · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Elias Sörensen · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.4 goals per match
| 2025-05-14 | Willem II 1-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| 2024-12-13 | PEC Zwolle 0-1 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| 2023-03-10 | Willem II 2-3 PEC Zwolle | Eerste Divisie |
| 2022-09-09 | PEC Zwolle 2-2 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| 2022-01-14 | PEC Zwolle 2-0 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| 2021-08-28 | Willem II 1-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 12 | +25 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 | Ajax | 12 | +17 | 25 |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | +18 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 | Groningen | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | -13 | 12 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 12 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | -29 | 3 |
More stats
21 matches · 2.1 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.11 penalties
Willem II: 6 days since last match · PEC Zwolle: 5 days
J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar
S. Floranus, F. Krastev, G. Rahajaan
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 21:30 UTC.