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Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin prediction
Poland · Ekstraklasa
Widzew Łódź
Pogon SzczecinPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 14:15 (Peru time) · Stadion Widzewa Łódź · Referee: Piotr Lasyk
Widzew Łódź to score
76%- Widzew Łódź scored in 10 of 13 matches this season
- Widzew Łódź average 1.3 goals per match
- Świderski is on fire: 3 goals in his last 5 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Widzew Łódź 1.46 · Pogon Szczecin 1.25
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.71.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.1 in total · Widzew Łódź 5.5 · Pogon Szczecin 4.6
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.6 · el árbitro Piotr Lasyk saca 2.4 por partido
⏱️ First half
47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.27
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Widzew Łódź: 13 matches · Pogon Szczecin: 12 matches (all competitions with data).
Widzew Łódź at home · Pogon Szczecin away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 5 of 10 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 9 of 11 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Karol Świderski · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Jusuf Gazibegovic · 0 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches
M. Garcia · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
Paul Omo Mukairu · 1 gol, 3 assists in 5 matches
Kamil Grosicki · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Darko Churlinov · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
9 matches · 2.9 goals per match
| 2026-02-28 | Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| 2025-12-02 | Pogon Szczecin 0-1 Widzew Łódź | Cup |
| 2025-08-22 | Widzew Łódź 1-2 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| 2025-02-22 | Widzew Łódź 0-4 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| 2024-08-17 | Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| 2023-12-16 | Widzew Łódź 1-2 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 13 | +21 | 32 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 14 | +11 | 31 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 14 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 14 | +1 | 23 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 14 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 14 | +5 | 21 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia | 13 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 14 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 13 | -7 | 15 |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 14 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 14 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Cracovia Krakow | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 | Raków Częstochowa | 14 | -8 | 12 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 14 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 14 | -10 | 8 |
More stats
13 matches · 2.4 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.20 penalties
Widzew Łódź: 7 days since last match · Pogon Szczecin: 4 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 21:50 UTC.