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West Brom vs Millwall prediction

England · Championship
West Brom badgeWest Brom#5 · 28 ptsDWDWW
3 - 0Full time
Millwall badgeMillwall#16 · 18 ptsLWLDL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Isaac Price 50'⚽ Jayson Molumby 78'⚽ Felix Horn Myhre 89'

Saturday, 7 November · 10:00 (Peru time) · The Hawthorns · Referee: Thomas Bramall

Picky
🎯 Model pick

West Brom to score

80%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'🔁 Sub: Brayann Pereira · Conor TownsendWest Brom
90'🔁 Sub: Jayson Molumby · Matthew CrowtherWest Brom
89'⚽ Felix Horn Myhre assist Isaac PriceWest Brom
80'🔁 Sub: Jordi Osei-Tutu · Taïryk ArconteMillwall
78'⚽ Jayson MolumbyWest Brom
75'🔁 Sub: Rabby Nzingoula · Kareem TundeWest Brom
71'🔁 Sub: Kyrell Lisbie · Alfie DoughtyMillwall
71'🔁 Sub: Luke Cundle · Romain EsseMillwall
65'🔁 Sub: Aune Heggebo · Barney StewartWest Brom
64'🟨 Zak SturgeMillwall
64'🔁 Sub: J. Morgan · Felix Horn MyhreWest Brom
54'🔁 Sub: Josh Coburn · Lyndon DykesMillwall
52'🟨 Brayann PereiraWest Brom
50'⚽ Isaac Price assist Jayson MolumbyWest Brom
45'🔁 Sub: Derek Mazou Sacko · Mark SykesMillwall
43'🟨 Derek Mazou SackoMillwall

Win probability minute by minute

West BromDrawMillwall
At kick-off49%30%21%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

49%West Brom to win@2.04
30%Draw@3.29
21%Millwall to win@4.83
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score55%
West Brom or draw79%
Millwall or draw51%
West Brom to score80%
Millwall to score64%

Most likely scores

1-114%1-010%0-010%2-19%2-09%

Expected goals per the model: West Brom 1.63 · Millwall 1.01

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals19%1 goals25%2 goals22%3 goals14%4 goals13%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.64.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.5 in total · West Brom 5.8 · Millwall 5.7

74%Over 8.5@1.35
65%Over 9.5@1.53
56%Over 10.5@1.80
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.6 · el árbitro Thomas Bramall saca 3.3 por partido

47%Over 3.5@2.12
31%Over 4.5@3.24
19%Over 5.5@5.36

⏱️ First half

42% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.11

67%Goal in the 1st half@1.49
30%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.29
78%Goal in the 2st half@1.28

⚽ Goals per team

48%West Brom +1.5@2.06
27%Millwall +1.5@3.73
27%West Brom to win to nil@3.73

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

3.02Expected goals (xG)0.64
6Shots on target2
2Saves3
1Offsides8
18Shots6
1Yellow cards2
7Corners4
12Fouls14
0Red cards0
64Possession %36

Goals in the last 10 matches

West Brom · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.4goals per match
2.5en Derby: 1-0 1-0 vs QPR: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Wolves: 0-1 0-1 vs Birmingham: 0-1 0-1 en Wrexham: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Blackburn: 3-2 3-2 ambosen Preston: 1-1 1-1 ambosen West Ham: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Southampton: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Millwall: 3-0 3-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Millwall · last 10 matches
8/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.2goals per match
2.5en Blackburn: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Middlesbrough: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs West Ham: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Preston: 1-0 1-0 vs Swansea: 0-1 0-1 vs Lincoln: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Portsmouth: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Derby: 4-1 4-1 ambosen Birmingham: 0-3 0-3 at West Brom: 0-3 0-3

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

West BromMillwall
1.4Goals scored per match1.6
1.1Goals conceded per match1.7
71%Matches with over 1.5 goals86%
43%Matches with over 2.5 goals79%
71%Both teams to score50%
14%Clean sheet29%
14%Matches without scoring21%
5.6Corners won per match5.4
1.9Yellow cards per match1.9

West Brom: 14 matches · Millwall: 14 matches (all competitions with data).

West Brom at home · Millwall away

West Brom at home
3G3E1P
DWLDW
Millwall away
2G1E4P
LLWDL

When do they score and concede?

West Brom · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
030-155116-302231-453346-605361-755376-90
Millwall · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
520-153516-304331-453446-601461-757676-90

The first goal

West Brom

Scores first in 6 of 14 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 5.

Millwall

Scores first in 9 of 14 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

West Brom

Isaac Price · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Felix Horn Myhre · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches

J. Morgan · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Millwall

Kyrell Lisbie · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Jake Cooper · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

J. Metcalfe · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

0West Brom to win
7Draws
3Millwall to win

10 matches · 1.4 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-04-10West Brom 0-0 MillwallChampionship
2025-10-04Millwall 3-0 West BromChampionship
2025-02-15Millwall 1-1 West BromChampionship
2024-10-05West Brom 0-0 MillwallChampionship
2024-03-29Millwall 1-1 West BromChampionship
2023-09-23West Brom 0-0 MillwallChampionship

Standings

Championship standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Birmingham15+1429
2Middlesbrough15+1129
3Stoke City15+629
4Wolves15+828
5West Brom15+828
6Swansea15+426
7Southampton15+1424
8QPR15+624
9West Ham15+1423
10Sheffield Utd15+222
11Portsmouth15+222
12Norwich15+821
13Blackburn15-121
14Cardiff15018
15Wrexham15-218
16Millwall15-418
17Bristol City15-818
18Bolton15-917
19Charlton15-1017
20Watford15-1015
21Lincoln15-1115
22Burnley15-910
23Derby15-1610
24Preston15-178

More stats

Referee: Thomas Bramall

7 matches · 3.2 yellows and 0.17 reds per match · 0.17 penalties

Half-time

West Brom: 3 days since last match · Millwall: 3 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 17:40 UTC.

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