Home › Italy · Serie B › Virtus Entella vs Modena
Virtus Entella vs Modena prediction
Italy · Serie B
Virtus Entella
ModenaPre-match probabilities
Sunday, 8 November · 09:00 (Peru time) · Stadio Comunale · Referee: Valerio Crezzini
Modena or draw
76%- Modena unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 (D W W L W)
- Away, Modena are 3W 1D 2L this season
- #2 in the table, Virtus Entella #16
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Virtus Entella 1.00 · Modena 1.39
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.39.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 8.7 in total · Virtus Entella 4.5 · Modena 4.1
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.0 · el árbitro Valerio Crezzini saca 2.2 por partido
⏱️ First half
57% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.36
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Virtus Entella: 11 matches · Modena: 11 matches (all competitions with data).
Virtus Entella at home · Modena away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 3 of 10 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 5 of 11 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 4.
Players in form
M Tirelli · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Andrea Tiritiello · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Bernat Guiu · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Andrea Belotti · 6 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Giuseppe Caso · 1 gol, 2 assists in 3 matches
Giuseppe Ambrosino · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
4 matches · 2.5 goals per match
| 2026-03-03 | Virtus Entella 2-1 Modena | Serie B |
| 2025-10-05 | Modena 2-0 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| 2022-01-30 | Virtus Entella 0-2 Modena | Serie C - Girone B |
| 2021-09-25 | Modena 1-2 Virtus Entella | Serie C - Girone B |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 11 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 | Modena | 11 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 11 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 | Mantova | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 | Avellino | 11 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 | Benevento | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 11 | +6 | 16 |
| 8 | Pisa | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 | Cremonese | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | Padova | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cesena | 11 | -2 | 15 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 13 | Juve Stabia | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 | Arezzo | 11 | -11 | 11 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Virtus Entella | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Vicenza Virtus | 11 | -10 | 9 |
| 19 | Empoli | 11 | -7 | 9 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 11 | -12 | 6 |
More stats
16 matches · 2.2 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.17 penalties
Virtus Entella: 7 days since last match · Modena: 8 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 16:40 UTC.