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Villarreal vs Getafe prediction

Spain · La Liga
Villarreal badgeVillarreal#8 · 15 ptsLLWWL
2 - 0Full time
Getafe badgeGetafe#15 · 12 ptsLWWLL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Tajon Buchanan 80'⚽ Carlos Romero 90'

Sunday, November 8 · 12:30 (Peru time) · Estadio de la Cerámica · Referee: Carlos Muñiz Muñoz

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Villarreal to score

84%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+1⚽ Carlos Romero assist Ayoze PérezVillarreal
84'🔁 Sub: Georges Mikautadze · Nathan-Dylan SalibaVillarreal
81'🔁 Sub: Orel Mangala · Iván AzónGetafe
81'🔁 Sub: Enes Ünal · Francho Serrano GraciaGetafe
81'🔁 Sub: Andrés García · Kiko FemeniaGetafe
80'⚽ Tajon Buchanan assist Nicolas PépéVillarreal
76'🟨 Renato VeigaVillarreal
76'🔁 Sub: Tani Oluwaseyi · Nicolas PépéVillarreal
67'🟨 Santi ComesañaVillarreal
64'🔁 Sub: Carlos Macià · Santi ComesañaVillarreal
64'🔁 Sub: Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González · Alex FreemanVillarreal
63'🔁 Sub: Alberto Moleiro · Ayoze PérezVillarreal
62'🟨 Nemanja GudeljGetafe
45'🔁 Sub: Mario Martín Rielves · Ramón TerratsGetafe
32'🟨 Mario Martín RielvesGetafe

Win probability minute by minute

VillarrealDrawGetafe
At kick-off59%27%14%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

59%Villarreal to win@1.68
27%Draw@3.77
14%Getafe to win@7.13
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score49%
Villarreal or draw86%
Getafe or draw41%
Villarreal to score84%
Getafe to score56%

Most likely scores

1-112%1-012%2-011%2-19%0-09%

Expected goals per the model: Villarreal 1.87 · Getafe 0.83

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals18%1 goals24%2 goals22%3 goals15%4 goals14%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.70.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.5 in total · Villarreal 5.6 · Getafe 4.9

67%Over 8.5@1.50
57%Over 9.5@1.76
47%Over 10.5@2.13
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.8

79%Over 3.5@1.26
65%Over 4.5@1.53
51%Over 5.5@1.97

⏱️ First half

46% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.24

71%Goal in the 1st half@1.40
35%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.83
77%Goal in the 2st half@1.30

⚽ Goals per team

56%Villarreal +1.5@1.79
20%Getafe +1.5@4.95
35%Villarreal to win to nil@2.88

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

7Shots on target1
1Saves5
2Offsides1
22Shots9
2Yellow cards2
9Corners4
6Fouls13
0Red cards0
73Possession %27
2.07Expected goals (xG)0.68

Goals in the last 10 matches

Villarreal · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score3.3goals per match
2.5vs Levante: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Real Madrid: 0-1 0-1 vs Napoli: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Elche: 0-0 0-0 en Liverpool: 3-4 3-4 ambosen Valencia: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Manacor: 5-0 5-0 vs Espanyol: 0-1 0-1 vs Paris Saint Germain: 0-6 0-6 vs Getafe: 2-0 2-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Getafe · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score3.1goals per match
2.5vs Málaga: 1-0 1-0 en Barcelona: 0-3 0-3 en Universitatea Craiova: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Rayo Vallecano: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs FC Lugano: 2-5 2-5 ambosen Athletic Club: 0-4 0-4 en Lebrijana: 3-2 3-2 ambosvs Sevilla: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Brighton: 0-1 0-1 at Villarreal: 0-2 0-2

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

VillarrealGetafe
1.8Goals scored per match1.1
1.8Goals conceded per match1.6
75%Matches with over 1.5 goals71%
75%Matches with over 2.5 goals47%
63%Both teams to score53%
13%Clean sheet12%
31%Matches without scoring35%
6.5Corners won per match4.8
2.2Yellow cards per match3.2

Villarreal: 16 matches · Getafe: 17 matches (all competitions with data).

Villarreal at home · Getafe away

Villarreal at home
2G1E4P
LLDWW
Getafe away
1G1E6P
WLDLL

When do they score and concede?

Villarreal · goals by minute in 16 matches scored conceded
250-156216-305931-454346-604361-757776-90
Getafe · goals by minute in 17 matches scored conceded
250-151516-302431-451446-606461-756676-90

The first goal

Villarreal

Scores first in 6 of 15 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 5.

Getafe

Scores first in 6 of 17 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 11 and avoids defeat in 4.

Players in form

Villarreal

T. Oluwaseyi · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches

S. Cardona · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

N. El Jmili · 1 gol, 2 assists in 1 matches

Getafe

Orel Mangala · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches

B. Mayoral · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Enes Ünal · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

5Villarreal to win
4Draws
1Getafe to win

10 matches · 1.9 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-02-14Getafe 2-1 VillarrealLa Liga
2025-12-06Villarreal 2-0 GetafeLa Liga
2025-03-30Getafe 1-2 VillarrealLa Liga
2024-10-20Villarreal 1-1 GetafeLa Liga
2024-02-16Villarreal 1-1 GetafeLa Liga
2023-09-30Getafe 0-0 VillarrealLa Liga

Standings

La Liga standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona12+3533
2Real Madrid12+2130
3Atlético Madrid12+1328
4Real Betis12+526
5Real Sociedad12+122
6Sevilla12-218
7Athletic Club11+416
8Villarreal12+215
9Deportivo La Coruna12+115
10Racing Santander12-1314
11Celta Vigo12013
12Alavés12-213
13Espanyol12-112
14Rayo Vallecano11-612
15Getafe12-1012
16Osasuna12-1112
17Levante12-511
18Elche12-610
19Valencia12-129
20Málaga12-145

More stats

Half-time

Villarreal: 4 days since last match · Getafe: 2 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 20:00 UTC.

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