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Viking vs KFUM Oslo prediction

Norway · Eliteserien

Viking#1 · 62 ptsWLWLW

5 - 1Full time

KFUM Oslo#10 · 31 ptsDDDWW

72%18%10%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Henrik Bjørdal 21'⚽ Peter Christiansen 45'⚽ Peter Christiansen 51'⚽ Bilal Njie 55'⚽ Peter Christiansen 61'

Sunday, November 8 · 11:00 (Peru time) · SR-Bank Arena · Referee: Rohit Saggi

🎯 Model pick

Viking to win

72%

Full data

Viking have won 3 of their last 5 (W L W L W)
At home, Viking are 14W 1D 0L this season
#1 in the table, KFUM Oslo #10

⚡ Summary

72%Viking to win@1.39 70%Over 2.5 goals@1.43 58%Both teams to score@1.73 61%Corners +9.5 (11.0)@1.6536%Cards +4.5 (4.0)@2.762-0Most likely score · 9%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

83'🔁 Sub: Robin Rasch · Samuel TochukwuKFUM Oslo

77'🔁 Sub: Peter Christiansen · Romano PostemaViking

77'🔁 Sub: Joe Bell · Jakob Segadal HansenViking

76'🔁 Sub: Jonas Lange Hjorth · Sander Hansen SjokvistKFUM Oslo

68'🔁 Sub: Amin Cosic · Niklas FuglestadViking

68'🔁 Sub: Henrik Bjørdal · Tobias MoiViking

63'🔁 Sub: Magnus Grødem · Bjorn Martin KristensenKFUM Oslo

61'⚽ Peter Christiansen assist Erik BotheimViking

55'⚽ Bilal Njie assist Jonas Lange HjorthKFUM Oslo

51'⚽ Peter Christiansen assist Herman HaugenViking

45'+4⚽ Peter Christiansen assist Vetle AuklendViking

45'+2🟨 Tore Andre SorasKFUM Oslo

45'🔁 Sub: Martin Tangen Vinjor · Brage TobiassenKFUM Oslo

45'🔁 Sub: Ola Visted · Bilal NjieKFUM Oslo

31'🟨 Daniel SchneiderKFUM Oslo

21'⚽ Henrik Bjørdal assist Joe BellViking

18'🔁 Sub: Henrik Heggheim · Herman HaugenViking

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

72%Viking to win@1.39

18%Draw@5.50

10%KFUM Oslo to win@10.20

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals70%

Over 3.5 goals50%

Both teams to score58%

Viking or draw90%

KFUM Oslo or draw28%

Viking to score93%

KFUM Oslo to score63%

Most likely scores

2-09%2-19%1-18%3-08%3-18%

Expected goals per the model: Viking 2.73 · KFUM Oslo 1.00

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.73.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.0 in total · Viking 6.0 · KFUM Oslo 5.0

70%Over 8.5@1.43

61%Over 9.5@1.65

51%Over 10.5@1.97

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.0 · el árbitro Rohit Saggi saca 3.8 por partido

53%Over 3.5@1.88

36%Over 4.5@2.76

23%Over 5.5@4.35

⏱️ First half

59% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 2.19

89%Goal in the 1st half@1.13

64%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@1.56

79%Goal in the 2st half@1.27

⚽ Goals per team

76%Viking +1.5@1.32

26%KFUM Oslo +1.5@3.78

33%Viking to win to nil@2.99

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.67Expected goals (xG)0.79

8Shots on target3

3Saves5

3Offsides1

24Shots10

8Corners2

0Yellow cards2

11Fouls8

0Red cards0

53Possession %47

Goals in the last 10 matches

Viking · last 10 matches

9/10+2.5 goals8/10both teams to score4.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

KFUM Oslo · last 10 matches

7/10+2.5 goals9/10both teams to score3.5goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

VikingKFUM Oslo

2.5Goals scored per match1.3

1.3Goals conceded per match1.6

94%Matches with over 1.5 goals88%

81%Matches with over 2.5 goals60%

74%Both teams to score64%

23%Clean sheet20%

3%Matches without scoring20%

6.4Corners won per match4.0

2.2Yellow cards per match1.7

Viking: 31 matches · KFUM Oslo: 25 matches (all competitions with data).

Viking at home · KFUM Oslo away

Viking at home

14G1E0P

WWWDW

KFUM Oslo away

2G4E6P

DDWLL

When do they score and concede?

Viking · goals by minute in 31 matches scored conceded

KFUM Oslo · goals by minute in 25 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Viking

Scores first in 19 of 31 matches and wins 17 of them.

Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 6.

KFUM Oslo

Scores first in 11 of 24 matches and wins 7 of them.

Concedes first in 13 and avoids defeat in 5.

Players in form

Viking

Peter Christiansen · 4 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Kristoffer Haugen · 1 gol, 4 assists in 3 matches

Erik Botheim · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

KFUM Oslo

Bilal Njie · 2 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

Magnus Grødem · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Bjorn Martin Kristensen · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

5Viking to win

1Draws

1KFUM Oslo to win

7 matches · 3.1 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-10	KFUM Oslo 0-2 Viking	Eliteserien
2025-09-14	KFUM Oslo 2-2 Viking	Eliteserien
2025-04-06	Viking 3-1 KFUM Oslo	Eliteserien
2024-09-14	Viking 1-0 KFUM Oslo	Eliteserien
2024-07-07	KFUM Oslo 1-2 Viking	Eliteserien
2024-02-16	Viking 1-2 KFUM Oslo	Friendlies Clubs

Standings

Eliteserien standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Viking	26	+42	62
2	Bodo/Glimt	26	+40	62
3	Rosenborg	26	+21	46
4	Lillestrom	26	+4	45
5	Molde	26	+20	44
6	Tromso	26	+3	40
7	Brann	26	+3	33
8	Valerenga	26	-4	32
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	26	-10	31
10	KFUM Oslo	26	-13	31
11	Ham-Kam	26	-15	30
12	Fredrikstad	26	-15	30
13	Sandefjord	26	-8	28
14	Kristiansund BK	26	-21	26
15	Aalesund	26	-15	24
16	Start	26	-32	19

More stats

Referee: Rohit Saggi

46 matches · 3.6 yellows and 0.13 reds per match · 0.22 penalties

Half-time

Viking: 3 days since last match · KFUM Oslo: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:30 UTC.