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Vietnam U23 vs Thailand U23 prediction

International · International friendlies
3 - 0Full time

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Nguyen Minh Tam 17'⚽ Nguyen Minh Tam 45'⚽ 85'

Tuesday, November 10 · 07:00 (Peru time) · Pleiku Stadium

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Vietnam U23 or draw

79%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

85'⚽ Vietnam U23
45'+2⚽ Nguyen Minh TamVietnam U23
17'⚽ Nguyen Minh TamVietnam U23

Win probability minute by minute

Vietnam U23DrawThailand U23
At kick-off47%32%21%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

47%Vietnam U23 to win@2.13
32%Draw@3.11
21%Thailand U23 to win@4.77
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score52%
Vietnam U23 or draw79%
Thailand U23 or draw53%
Vietnam U23 to score78%
Thailand U23 to score64%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-011%1-010%2-18%2-08%

Expected goals per the model: Vietnam U23 1.59 · Thailand U23 1.03

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals19%1 goals25%2 goals22%3 goals14%4 goals13%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.62.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

58% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.53

78%Goal in the 1st half@1.28
45%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.21
66%Goal in the 2st half@1.51

⚽ Goals per team

47%Vietnam sub-23 +1.5@2.12
28%Tailandia sub-23 +1.5@3.63
26%Vietnam U23 to win to nil@3.91

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

11Shots on target2
7Corners2
0Red cards0
58Possession %42
0Yellow cards0
15Shots4

Goals in the last 10 matches

Vietnam U23 · last 4 matches
1/4+2.5 goals1/4both teams to score1.8goals per match
2.5vs Korea DPR U23: 1-1 1-1 ambosat Thailand U23: 0-1 0-1 en China PR U23: 0-1 0-1 vs Tailandia sub-23: 3-0 3-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Thailand U23 · last 7 matches
6/7+2.5 goals4/7both teams to score4.0goals per match
2.5vs India sub-23: 4-0 4-0 en China PR U23: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Vietnam sub-23: 1-0 1-0 en Korea DPR U23: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Korea Republic U23: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs UAE U23: 2-5 2-5 ambosat Vietnam U23: 0-3 0-3

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Vietnam U23Thailand U23
0.3Goals scored per match1.6
1.0Goals conceded per match2.6
33%Matches with over 1.5 goals80%
0%Matches with over 2.5 goals80%
33%Both teams to score80%
0%Clean sheet20%
67%Matches without scoring0%

Vietnam U23: 3 matches · Thailand U23: 5 matches (all competitions with data).

Vietnam U23 at home · Thailand U23 away

Vietnam U23 at home
0G1E0P
D
Thailand U23 away
0G1E1P
LD

When do they score and concede?

Vietnam U23 · goals by minute in 2 matches scored conceded
100-150016-300131-450046-600161-750076-90
Thailand U23 · goals by minute in 4 matches scored conceded
220-152216-301131-451446-600261-751276-90

The first goal

Vietnam U23

Scores first in 1 of 2 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Thailand U23

Scores first in 3 of 4 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Vietnam U23

Nguyen Minh Tam · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Thailand U23

J. Mamah · 3 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches

T. Chotmuangpak · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

C. Buaphan · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Head to head

4Vietnam U23 to win
1Draws
1Thailand U23 to win

6 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-03-28Thailand U23 1-0 Vietnam U23Friendlies
2022-06-02Thailand U23 2-2 Vietnam U23AFC U23 Asian Cup
2022-05-22Vietnam U23 1-0 Thailand U23Southeast Asian Games
2022-02-26Thailand U23 0-1 Vietnam U23AFF U23 Championship
2022-02-22Vietnam U23 1-0 Thailand U23AFF U23 Championship
2019-03-26Vietnam U23 4-0 Thailand U23AFC U23 Asian Cup

More stats

Half-time

Vietnam U23: 224 days since last match · Thailand U23: 154 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-10 14:30 UTC.

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