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Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese prediction

Italy · Serie B
Vicenza Virtus badgeVicenza Virtus#18 · 9 ptsLLWDL
1 - 4Full time
Cremonese badgeCremonese#9 · 15 ptsWWLLD

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Federico Bonazzoli 38'⚽ Silvio Merkaj 41'⚽ Giuseppe Pezzella 51'⚽ Federico Bonazzoli 80' (p)⚽ D. Stückler 90'

Sunday, 8 November · 13:30 (Peru time) · Stadio Romeo Menti · Referee: Matteo Marchetti

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Cremonese or draw

76%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'⚽ D. Stückler assist Morten ThorsbyCremonese
86'🔁 Sub: Salvatore Elia · Dachi LordkipanidzeCremonese
86'🔁 Sub: Tommaso Berti · Alberto GrassiCremonese
81'🔁 Sub: Federico Bonazzoli · D. StücklerCremonese
80'⚽ Federico Bonazzoli (pen.)Cremonese
78'📺 Giuseppe PezzellaCremonese
77'🔁 Sub: Matteo Vescovi · Giuseppe CuomoVicenza Virtus
76'🟨 Silvio MerkajVicenza Virtus
72'🔁 Sub: L. Caferri · Alessandro PietrelliVicenza Virtus
70'🟨 Loris ZontaVicenza Virtus
67'🟨 Nicolò BrighentiVicenza Virtus
65'🔁 Sub: Jari Vandeputte · Marco NastiCremonese
62'🔁 Sub: Marco Carraro · Loris ZontaVicenza Virtus
62'🔁 Sub: Filippo Costa · Tommaso CorazzaVicenza Virtus
62'🔁 Sub: Nicola Rauti · Claudio MorraVicenza Virtus
51'⚽ Giuseppe PezzellaCremonese
45'🔁 Sub: Adin Ličina · Salvatore EliaCremonese
41'⚽ Silvio MerkajVicenza Virtus
38'⚽ Federico Bonazzoli assist Tommaso BarbieriCremonese

Win probability minute by minute

Vicenza VirtusDrawCremonese
At kick-off24%35%41%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

24%Vicenza Virtus to win@4.14
35%Draw@2.85
41%Cremonese to win@2.45
Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams to score54%
Vicenza Virtus or draw59%
Cremonese or draw76%
Vicenza Virtus to score66%
Cremonese to score75%

Most likely scores

1-116%0-012%0-110%1-28%0-27%

Expected goals per the model: Vicenza Virtus 1.07 · Cremonese 1.42

How many goals will there be?

8%0 goals21%1 goals26%2 goals21%3 goals13%4 goals11%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.49.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.4 in total · Vicenza Virtus 5.1 · Cremonese 4.3

56%Over 8.5@1.79
45%Over 9.5@2.21
36%Over 10.5@2.80
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.6 · el árbitro Matteo Marchetti saca 3.3 por partido

47%Over 3.5@2.12
31%Over 4.5@3.24
19%Over 5.5@5.36

⏱️ First half

53% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.32

73%Goal in the 1st half@1.37
38%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.64
69%Goal in the 2st half@1.45

⚽ Goals per team

29%Vicenza Virtus +1.5@3.45
42%Cremonese +1.5@2.41
13%Vicenza Virtus to win to nil@7.78

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.06Expected goals (xG)2.81
5Shots on target6
2Saves4
4Offsides0
10Shots16
3Yellow cards0
3Corners3
6Fouls4
0Red cards0
54Possession %46

Goals in the last 10 matches

Vicenza Virtus · last 10 matches
8/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.3goals per match
2.5en Avellino: 0-3 0-3 en Virtus Entella: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Juve Stabia: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Hellas Verona: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Pisa: 0-3 0-3 en Benevento: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Empoli: 2-0 2-0 vs Modena: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Palermo: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Cremonese: 1-4 1-4 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Cremonese · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.4goals per match
2.5en Parma: 2-0 2-0 vs Padova: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Cesena: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Virtus Entella: 0-0 0-0 en Arezzo: 0-0 0-0 en Pisa: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Juve Stabia: 0-1 0-1 en Mantova: 2-0 2-0 vs Benevento: 2-0 2-0 at Vicenza Virtus: 4-1 4-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Vicenza VirtusCremonese
1.3Goals scored per match1.2
1.9Goals conceded per match0.9
100%Matches with over 1.5 goals67%
73%Matches with over 2.5 goals33%
73%Both teams to score25%
9%Clean sheet50%
18%Matches without scoring42%
5.5Corners won per match4.1
2.2Yellow cards per match1.7

Vicenza Virtus: 11 matches · Cremonese: 12 matches (all competitions with data).

Vicenza Virtus at home · Cremonese away

Vicenza Virtus at home
1G2E2P
LLDWD
Cremonese away
2G2E2P
WLDDW

When do they score and concede?

Vicenza Virtus · goals by minute in 11 matches scored conceded
210-153616-301331-452446-602161-754676-90
Cremonese · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded
410-151316-303331-451246-601061-754276-90

The first goal

Vicenza Virtus

Scores first in 7 of 11 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 2.

Cremonese

Scores first in 5 of 10 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Vicenza Virtus

Nicola Rauti · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Nicolò Brighenti · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Giulio Pellizzari · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Cremonese

Tommaso Berti · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Marco Nasti · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Federico Bonazzoli · 1 gol, 1 assists in 3 matches

Head to head

2Vicenza Virtus to win
1Draws
1Cremonese to win

4 matches · 1.5 goals per match

Recent meetings
2022-02-22Cremonese 0-0 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
2021-09-26Vicenza Virtus 0-1 CremoneseSerie B
2021-03-02Vicenza Virtus 3-1 CremoneseSerie B
2020-11-07Cremonese 0-1 Vicenza VirtusSerie B

Standings

Serie B standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Palermo11+1227
2Modena11+1023
3Ascoli11+1020
4Mantova11+419
5Avellino11+516
6Benevento11+416
7Hellas Verona11+616
8Pisa11+316
9Cremonese11+215
10Padova11-115
11Cesena11-215
12Sudtirol11+115
13Juve Stabia11+112
14Arezzo11-1111
15Sampdoria11-711
16Virtus Entella11-310
17Carrarese11-510
18Vicenza Virtus11-109
19Empoli11-79
20Catanzaro11-126

More stats

Referee: Matteo Marchetti

16 matches · 3.3 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

Vicenza Virtus: 7 days since last match · Cremonese: 8 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 21:00 UTC.

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