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VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC prediction

Germany · 2. Bundesliga
VfL Bochum badgeVfL Bochum#8 · 14 ptsWWDLL
3 - 2Full time
Karlsruher SC badgeKarlsruher SC#16 · 11 ptsWLLWL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen 6'⚽ Kevin Wiethaup 8'⚽ Tim Civeja 50'⚽ Philipp Hofmann 53'⚽ Philipp Hofmann 90'

Sunday, November 8 · 07:30 (Peru time) · Vonovia Ruhrstadion · Referee: Florian Badstubner

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

82%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+2⚽ Philipp Hofmann assist Karol MetsVfL Bochum
89'🔁 Sub: Mats Henry Pannewig · Mansour Ouro-TagbaVfL Bochum
89'🔁 Sub: Sandro Tremoulet · HélitonKarlsruher SC
89'🔁 Sub: Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen · Lasse IsbruchVfL Bochum
89'🔁 Sub: Kevin Wiethaup · Danyal Hakan ZorKarlsruher SC
89'🔁 Sub: Shio Fukuda · Louey Ben FarhatKarlsruher SC
76'🟨 Sean KlaiberVfL Bochum
75'🔁 Sub: Tom Meyer · Charlie PatinoVfL Bochum
75'🔁 Sub: Berkan Taz · Gerrit HoltmannVfL Bochum
75'🔁 Sub: Tim Civeja · Noel EichingerKarlsruher SC
70'🔁 Sub: Deniz Ofli · Viktor BerghKarlsruher SC
60'🔁 Sub: Jarne Steuckers · Koji MiyoshiVfL Bochum
53'⚽ Philipp HofmannVfL Bochum
50'⚽ Tim CivejaKarlsruher SC
30'🟨 Santeri VäänänenKarlsruher SC
8'⚽ Kevin Wiethaup assist Marvin WanitzekKarlsruher SC
6'⚽ Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen assist Berkan TazVfL Bochum

Win probability minute by minute

VfL BochumDrawKarlsruher SC
At kick-off41%29%30%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

41%VfL Bochum to win@2.43
29%Draw@3.46
30%Karlsruher SC to win@3.33
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score63%
VfL Bochum or draw70%
Karlsruher SC or draw59%
VfL Bochum to score81%
Karlsruher SC to score76%

Most likely scores

1-113%2-18%2-27%1-27%1-07%

Expected goals per the model: VfL Bochum 1.69 · Karlsruher SC 1.43

How many goals will there be?

4%0 goals14%1 goals21%2 goals22%3 goals17%4 goals21%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.12.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.6 in total · VfL Bochum 4.8 · Karlsruher SC 5.8

67%Over 8.5@1.49
57%Over 9.5@1.74
48%Over 10.5@2.10
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.4 · el árbitro Florian Badstubner saca 2.5 por partido

43%Over 3.5@2.30
28%Over 4.5@3.63
16%Over 5.5@6.19

⏱️ First half

50% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.56

79%Goal in the 1st half@1.26
46%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.16
79%Goal in the 2st half@1.27

⚽ Goals per team

50%VfL Bochum +1.5@1.99
42%Karlsruher SC +1.5@2.39
18%VfL Bochum to win to nil@5.64

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.38Expected goals (xG)1.36
9Shots on target4
2Saves6
2Offsides2
26Shots13
1Yellow cards1
4Corners1
10Fouls11
0Red cards0
55Possession %45

Goals in the last 10 matches

VfL Bochum · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.4goals per match
2.5vs VfL Osnabrück: 0-1 0-1 en Dynamo Dresden: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Hannover 96: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Arminia Bielefeld: 0-1 0-1 at 1. FC Kaiserslautern: 0-2 0-2 vs VfL Wolfsburg: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs FSV Mainz 05: 2-0 2-0 en Energie Cottbus: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Karlsruher SC: 3-2 3-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Karlsruher SC · last 10 matches
7/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score3.8goals per match
2.5vs VfL Wolfsburg: 2-5 2-5 ambosen Hannover 96: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Energie Cottbus: 0-3 0-3 vs 1. FC Nürnberg: 0-1 0-1 en FC St. Pauli: 0-2 0-2 vs SV Darmstadt 98: 4-0 4-0 at 1. FC Magdeburg: 1-6 1-6 ambosen Borussia Mönchengladbach: 0-2 0-2 vs 1. FC Heidenheim: 2-1 2-1 ambosat VfL Bochum: 2-3 2-3 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

VfL BochumKarlsruher SC
1.0Goals scored per match1.3
1.0Goals conceded per match2.0
67%Matches with over 1.5 goals83%
33%Matches with over 2.5 goals67%
50%Both teams to score50%
17%Clean sheet17%
33%Matches without scoring42%
5.1Corners won per match6.3
2.8Yellow cards per match1.5

VfL Bochum: 12 matches · Karlsruher SC: 12 matches (all competitions with data).

VfL Bochum at home · Karlsruher SC away

VfL Bochum at home
1G2E3P
WDLDL
Karlsruher SC away
1G2E3P
LLLDW

When do they score and concede?

VfL Bochum · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded
120-154216-300431-451046-604261-752276-90
Karlsruher SC · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded
420-152316-301631-451646-602261-755576-90

The first goal

VfL Bochum

Scores first in 5 of 12 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Karlsruher SC

Scores first in 4 of 11 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

VfL Bochum

Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Philipp Hofmann · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Gerrit Holtmann · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Karlsruher SC

Marvin Wanitzek · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

S. Fukuda · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

K. Wiethaup · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

2VfL Bochum to win
6Draws
2Karlsruher SC to win

10 matches · 2.6 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-17Karlsruher SC 1-2 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
2025-12-20VfL Bochum 2-2 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
2022-12-10VfL Bochum 1-2 Karlsruher SCFriendlies Clubs
2021-01-31VfL Bochum 1-2 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
2020-09-27Karlsruher SC 0-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
2020-05-24Karlsruher SC 0-0 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga

Standings

2. Bundesliga standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Hertha BSC11+1631
21. FC Nürnberg11+1324
31. FC Kaiserslautern11+321
41. FC Magdeburg11+1120
5VfL Wolfsburg11+1019
6Arminia Bielefeld11+217
71. FC Heidenheim11-116
8VfL Bochum11-214
9FC St. Pauli11-312
10SpVgg Greuther Fürth11-612
11Hannover 9611-612
12Energie Cottbus11-211
13Eintracht Braunschweig11-211
14VfL Osnabrück11-411
15Dynamo Dresden11-511
16Karlsruher SC11-911
17SV Darmstadt 9811-129
18Holstein Kiel11-38

More stats

Referee: Florian Badstubner

25 matches · 2.5 yellows and 0.09 reds per match · 0.36 penalties

Half-time

VfL Bochum: 8 days since last match · Karlsruher SC: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 15:00 UTC.

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