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VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen prediction
Germany · Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
Werder BremenPre-match probabilities
Saturday, 7 November · 12:30 (Peru time) · MHP Arena · Referee: Soren Storks
VfB Stuttgart to score
85%- VfB Stuttgart scored in 9 of 12 matches this season
- VfB Stuttgart average 1.8 goals per match
- Werder Bremen concede 1.8 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: VfB Stuttgart 1.92 · Werder Bremen 1.73
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.65.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 11.1 in total · VfB Stuttgart 5.9 · Werder Bremen 5.2
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.1
⏱️ First half
37% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.36
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
VfB Stuttgart: 12 matches · Werder Bremen: 8 matches (all competitions with data).
VfB Stuttgart at home · Werder Bremen away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 7 of 12 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 0.
Scores first in 3 of 8 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 4.
Players in form
Ermedin Demirović · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Jamie Leweling · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Bilal El Khannouss · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Niclas Füllkrug · 7 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Marco Grüll · 1 gol, 5 assists in 5 matches
Ludovit Reis · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.8 goals per match
| 2026-04-26 | VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| 2025-12-14 | Werder Bremen 0-4 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 2025-04-13 | VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| 2024-11-30 | Werder Bremen 2-2 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 2024-04-21 | Werder Bremen 2-1 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 2023-12-02 | VfB Stuttgart 2-0 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Unión Berlin | 9 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | -13 | 4 |
More stats
1 matches · 5.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
VfB Stuttgart: 3 days since last match · Werder Bremen: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 20:00 UTC.